Vistra Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Vistra is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.2% and 5.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 42.8% in 3 years.

Key information

9.2%

Earnings growth rate

12.2%

EPS growth rate

Renewable Energy earnings growth	10.6%
Revenue growth rate	5.6%
Future return on equity	42.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	15 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) 32% Share Price Surge

Jan 22

Here's Why We Think Vistra (NYSE:VST) Is Well Worth Watching

Dec 28

Power Play: Why Vistra Is My Favorite Utility Star

Dec 23

Vistra: Too Much Hype Priced In

Nov 22

Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Looks Just Right With A 33% Price Jump

Nov 22

What Is Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) Share Price Doing?

Nov 15

Vistra: The Nuclear Hype Is Getting Out Of Hand (Rating Downgrade)

Oct 23

Nuclear News - Vistra, Constellation Energy, Denison Mines

Oct 09

Broken Equilibrium: How Vistra Is Growing Like A Startup

Oct 01

Are Investors Undervaluing Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) By 42%?

Oct 01

Vistra Energy Goes Nuclear

Sep 23

Cheap Vistra Stock Is Poised To Exploit Multiple, Strong Trends

Sep 17

What You Can Learn From Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) P/E

Sep 10

Vistra Corp.: Essential Holding For Your Growth Portfolio

Aug 14

Vistra Corp: Mismatch Of Demand, Supply Promises Bright Future

Jul 14

What Is Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) Share Price Doing?

Jul 13

Vistra: This Sector Outperformer Looks Undervalued At This Price

Jun 13

Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Looks Just Right With A 45% Price Jump

May 25

Here's What To Make Of Vistra's (NYSE:VST) Decelerating Rates Of Return

May 21

Third Point - Vistra: In A Pole Position To Capitalize On Trends

May 02

Vistra Adds Vital Nuclear Power Capacity

Apr 22

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:VST - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	22,863	2,868	4,199	6,273	10
12/31/2026	21,929	2,624	3,741	5,968	11
12/31/2025	21,009	2,101	3,329	5,339	11
12/31/2024	17,224	2,467	2,032	4,563	N/A
9/30/2024	16,265	1,852	1,224	4,091	N/A
6/30/2024	14,064	477	1,514	3,949	N/A
3/31/2024	13,408	598	2,014	4,330	N/A
12/31/2023	14,779	1,343	3,206	5,453	N/A
9/30/2023	15,570	1,281	2,991	4,965	N/A
6/30/2023	16,629	1,448	2,427	4,220	N/A
3/31/2023	15,028	-393	-28	1,329	N/A
12/31/2022	13,728	-1,377	-844	485	N/A
9/30/2022	13,173	-388	-1,218	379	N/A
6/30/2022	11,018	-1,014	-1,396	128	N/A
3/31/2022	11,995	425	138	2,038	N/A
12/31/2021	12,077	-1,295	-1,452	-206	N/A
9/30/2021	11,287	-2,029	-1,156	494	N/A
6/30/2021	11,848	-1,592	-750	971	N/A
3/31/2021	11,792	-1,463	-484	1,132	N/A
12/31/2020	11,443	636	1,574	3,337	N/A
9/30/2020	11,779	899	1,823	3,263	N/A
6/30/2020	11,421	569	1,808	3,163	N/A
3/31/2020	11,744	759	1,652	2,900	N/A
12/31/2019	11,809	928	1,701	2,736	N/A
9/30/2019	11,512	508	1,560	2,431	N/A
6/30/2019	11,561	725	1,609	2,382	N/A
3/31/2019	11,302	477	1,263	1,881	N/A
12/31/2018	9,144	-54	936	1,471	N/A
9/30/2018	7,524	-447	N/A	1,404	N/A
6/30/2018	6,115	-504	N/A	1,024	N/A
3/31/2018	4,838	-638	N/A	1,223	N/A
12/31/2017	5,430	-254	N/A	1,386	N/A
9/30/2017	5,678	818	N/A	884	N/A
6/30/2017	5,534	731	N/A	588	N/A
3/31/2017	5,472	258	N/A	175	N/A
12/31/2016	5,164	-163	N/A	-157	N/A
9/30/2016	5,078	-2,266	N/A	-168	N/A
6/30/2016	5,126	-3,969	N/A	36	N/A
3/31/2016	5,147	-3,684	N/A	150	N/A
12/31/2015	5,370	-4,677	N/A	237	N/A
9/30/2015	5,512	-8,134	N/A	268	N/A
6/30/2015	5,581	-6,653	N/A	274	N/A
3/31/2015	5,733	-7,022	N/A	637	N/A
12/31/2014	5,978	-6,229	N/A	444	N/A
9/30/2014	6,058	-2,680	N/A	235	N/A
6/30/2014	6,144	-2,584	N/A	101	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: VST's forecast earnings growth (9.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: VST's earnings (9.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (13.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: VST's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: VST's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: VST's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: VST's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (42.8%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/04/17 03:40
End of Day Share Price	2025/04/17 00:00
Earnings	2024/12/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Vistra Corp. is covered by 27 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
James Thalacker	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Moses Sutton	BNP Paribas Exane
Ross Fowler	BofA Global Research

Vistra Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Vistra Corp. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year 2025

Vistra Corp. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year 2025

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

Price target increased by 7.1% to US$177

Price target increased by 8.2% to US$175

Price target increased by 8.5% to US$127

Recent updates

Vistra Corp. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 07, 2025

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per share

It's Down 35% But Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Vistra Corp., Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2025

Vistra Corp. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year 2025

Vistra Corp. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year 2025

Vistra: Stay Long, Key Drivers Intact

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.22 announced

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%

Vistra Corp. Declares Quarterly Dividend on Common Stock, Payable on March 31, 2025

Vistra Stands To Benefit From The Energy State Of Emergency

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

Vistra Corp. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Feb 27, 2025

New minor risk - Share price stability

Vistra: DeepSeek Sparks Undue AI Selling (Rating Upgrade)

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%

Price target increased by 7.1% to US$177

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) 32% Share Price Surge

Price target increased by 8.2% to US$175

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Vistra Appoints Rob Walters as Independent Director and Member of Sustainability and Risk Committee and Nominating and Governance Committee

Here's Why We Think Vistra (NYSE:VST) Is Well Worth Watching

Power Play: Why Vistra Is My Favorite Utility Star

Vistra Connects Two Utility-Scale Solar Facilities to Grid and Extends Operations of Baldwin Power Plant in Baldwin, Illinois

Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per share

Independent Chairman of the Board recently sold US$2.8m worth of stock

Independent Chairman of the Board notifies of intention to sell stock

Executive VP recently sold US$6.2m worth of stock

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

Vistra: Too Much Hype Priced In

Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Looks Just Right With A 33% Price Jump

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

What Is Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) Share Price Doing?

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Second quarter dividend of US$0.22 announced

Vistra Declares Quarterly Dividend on Common Stock, Payable on December 31, 2024

Vistra: The Nuclear Hype Is Getting Out Of Hand (Rating Downgrade)

Nuclear News - Vistra, Constellation Energy, Denison Mines

Vistra Corp. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 07, 2024

Price target increased by 8.5% to US$127

Broken Equilibrium: How Vistra Is Growing Like A Startup

Are Investors Undervaluing Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) By 42%?

Price target increased by 9.4% to US$121

Vistra Energy Goes Nuclear

New minor risk - Share price stability

Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) executed definitive agreement to acquire an unknown remaining stake in Vistra Vision LLC from affiliates of Nuveen Asset Management, LLC.

Cheap Vistra Stock Is Poised To Exploit Multiple, Strong Trends

Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per share

What You Can Learn From Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) P/E

New minor risk - Insider selling

Executive VP notifies of intention to sell stock

Vistra Corp.: Essential Holding For Your Growth Portfolio

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.92 (vs US$1.18 in 2Q 2023)

First quarter dividend of US$0.22 announced

Vistra Receives Approval from Nuclear Regulatory Commission to Operate Comanche Peak Nuclear Plant Through 2053

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Vistra Corp. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 08, 2024

Vistra Corp: Mismatch Of Demand, Supply Promises Bright Future

What Is Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) Share Price Doing?

Vistra Corp.(NYSE:VST) dropped from Russell 1000 Value Index

Vistra: This Sector Outperformer Looks Undervalued At This Price

Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per share

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Looks Just Right With A 45% Price Jump

Here's What To Make Of Vistra's (NYSE:VST) Decelerating Rates Of Return

New major risk - Financial position

First quarter 2024 earnings released: US$0.24 loss per share (vs US$1.72 profit in 1Q 2023)