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Vistra NYSE:VST Stock Report

Last Price

US$168.03

Market Cap

US$60.0b

7D

-12.1%

1Y

277.2%

Updated

31 Jan, 2025

Data

Company Financials +

Vistra Corp.

NYSE:VST Stock Report

Market Cap: US$60.0b

VST Stock Overview

Operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company. More details

VST fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance5/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 43% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 13.2% per year

Earnings grew by 44.6% over the past year

Risk Analysis

Volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the US market

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

Has a high level of debt


Community Narratives

Create a narrative

Narratives bring a range of perspectives from our community.

WA
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts

Industry Electrification And Data Centers Will Increase Future Power Demand

Key Takeaways Enhanced capital strategies, including equity repurchases and strategic acquisitions, aim to boost earnings per share and shareholder returns. Anticipated load growth from industry electrification and development could support future revenue growth and earnings stability.
View narrative
US$178.48
FV
5.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
9.49%
Revenue growth p.a.
1users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
41users have followed this narrative
2 days ago author updated this narrative

My Notes

Capture your thoughts, links and company narrative

Vistra Corp. Competitors

Talen Energy

NasdaqGS:TLN

US$10.3b

AES

NYSE:AES

US$8.0b

American Electric Power Company

NasdaqGS:AEP

US$52.2b

Duke Energy

NYSE:DUK

US$86.7b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Vistra
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$168.03
52 Week HighUS$199.84
52 Week LowUS$42.23
Beta1.23
1 Month Change21.88%
3 Month Change40.60%
1 Year Change277.17%
3 Year Change669.72%
5 Year Change653.50%
Change since IPO950.19%

Recent News & Updates

Vistra: DeepSeek Sparks Undue AI Selling (Rating Upgrade)

Jan 27

Recent updates

Vistra: DeepSeek Sparks Undue AI Selling (Rating Upgrade)

Jan 27

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) 32% Share Price Surge

Jan 22
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) 32% Share Price Surge

Here's Why We Think Vistra (NYSE:VST) Is Well Worth Watching

Dec 28
Here's Why We Think Vistra (NYSE:VST) Is Well Worth Watching

Power Play: Why Vistra Is My Favorite Utility Star

Dec 23

Vistra: Too Much Hype Priced In

Nov 22

Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Looks Just Right With A 33% Price Jump

Nov 22
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Looks Just Right With A 33% Price Jump

What Is Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) Share Price Doing?

Nov 15
What Is Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) Share Price Doing?

Vistra: The Nuclear Hype Is Getting Out Of Hand (Rating Downgrade)

Oct 23

Nuclear News - Vistra, Constellation Energy, Denison Mines

Oct 09

Broken Equilibrium: How Vistra Is Growing Like A Startup

Oct 01

Are Investors Undervaluing Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) By 42%?

Oct 01
Are Investors Undervaluing Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) By 42%?

Vistra Energy Goes Nuclear

Sep 23

Cheap Vistra Stock Is Poised To Exploit Multiple, Strong Trends

Sep 17

What You Can Learn From Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) P/E

Sep 10
What You Can Learn From Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) P/E

Vistra Corp.: Essential Holding For Your Growth Portfolio

Aug 14

Vistra Corp: Mismatch Of Demand, Supply Promises Bright Future

Jul 14

What Is Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) Share Price Doing?

Jul 13
What Is Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) Share Price Doing?

Vistra: This Sector Outperformer Looks Undervalued At This Price

Jun 13

Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Looks Just Right With A 45% Price Jump

May 25
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Looks Just Right With A 45% Price Jump

Here's What To Make Of Vistra's (NYSE:VST) Decelerating Rates Of Return

May 21
Here's What To Make Of Vistra's (NYSE:VST) Decelerating Rates Of Return

Third Point - Vistra: In A Pole Position To Capitalize On Trends

May 02

Vistra Adds Vital Nuclear Power Capacity

Apr 22

Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Stock Rockets 29% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Apr 04
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Stock Rockets 29% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

An Intrinsic Calculation For Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Suggests It's 38% Undervalued

Mar 22
An Intrinsic Calculation For Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Suggests It's 38% Undervalued

Earnings Beat: Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Forecasts

Mar 04
Earnings Beat: Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Forecasts

Vistra: Shares Go Parabolic, Take Caution Into Earnings

Feb 25

Little Excitement Around Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) Revenues

Feb 07
Little Excitement Around Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) Revenues

Vistra Corp.: A Green Transformation With Significant Upside Potential

Dec 17

Shareholder Returns

VSTUS Renewable EnergyUS Market
7D-12.1%-6.8%-0.5%
1Y277.2%77.0%24.3%

Return vs Industry: VST exceeded the US Renewable Energy industry which returned 77% over the past year.

Return vs Market: VST exceeded the US Market which returned 24.3% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is VST's price volatile compared to industry and market?
VST volatility
VST Average Weekly Movement12.7%
Renewable Energy Industry Average Movement11.0%
Market Average Movement6.5%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market18.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.3%

Stable Share Price: VST's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: VST's weekly volatility (13%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
18824,870Jim Burkevistracorp.com

Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company. The company operates through six segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset, and Asset Closure. It retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia.

Vistra Corp. Fundamentals Summary

How do Vistra's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
VST fundamental statistics
Market capUS$59.98b
Earnings (TTM)US$1.85b
Revenue (TTM)US$16.27b

30.9x

P/E Ratio

3.5x

P/S Ratio

Is VST overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
VST income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$16.27b
Cost of RevenueUS$9.49b
Gross ProfitUS$6.78b
Other ExpensesUS$4.93b
EarningsUS$1.85b

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

Feb 27, 2025

Earnings per share (EPS)5.44
Gross Margin41.67%
Net Profit Margin11.39%
Debt/Equity Ratio179.3%

How did VST perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

0.5%

Current Dividend Yield

16%

Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/31 22:27
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Vistra Corp. is covered by 26 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
James ThalackerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Moses SuttonBNP Paribas Exane