Stock Analysis

Earnings Working Against Black Hills Corporation's (NYSE:BKH) Share Price

NYSE:BKH
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider Black Hills Corporation (NYSE:BKH) as an attractive investment with its 14.7x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Black Hills has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Black Hills

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:BKH Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Black Hills' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Black Hills?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Black Hills' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 3.4%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 6.0% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 3.9% each year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 12% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Black Hills' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Black Hills' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Black Hills (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Black Hills is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.