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- NYSE:ATO
Atmos Energy's (NYSE:ATO) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at Atmos Energy (NYSE:ATO) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Atmos Energy, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.05 = US$1.0b ÷ (US$21b - US$1.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Thus, Atmos Energy has an ROCE of 5.0%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 5.3%, it's still a low return by itself.
See our latest analysis for Atmos Energy
In the above chart we have measured Atmos Energy's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
SWOT Analysis for Atmos Energy
- Earnings growth over the past year exceeded its 5-year average.
- Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
- Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
- Earnings growth over the past year underperformed the Gas Utilities industry.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Gas Utilities market.
- Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
- Good value based on P/E ratio compared to estimated Fair P/E ratio.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the American market.
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Atmos Energy's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 7.4% over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
What We Can Learn From Atmos Energy's ROCE
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Atmos Energy is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 57% to shareholders over the last five years. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for Atmos Energy that we think you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:ATO
Atmos Energy
Engages in the regulated natural gas distribution, and pipeline and storage businesses in the United States.
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.
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