Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Radiant Logistics, Inc. (NYSEMKT:RLGT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Radiant Logistics
What Is Radiant Logistics's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Radiant Logistics had US$31.3m of debt in September 2020, down from US$39.2m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$23.9m, its net debt is less, at about US$7.39m.
How Strong Is Radiant Logistics's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Radiant Logistics had liabilities of US$103.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$46.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$23.9m in cash and US$95.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$31.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Radiant Logistics shares are worth a total of US$317.5m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With net debt sitting at just 0.20 times EBITDA, Radiant Logistics is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 9.3 times the interest expense over the last year. On the other hand, Radiant Logistics's EBIT dived 16%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Radiant Logistics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Radiant Logistics actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
Radiant Logistics's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its EBIT growth rate. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Radiant Logistics can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - Radiant Logistics has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About NYSEAM:RLGT
Radiant Logistics
Operates as a third-party logistics company, provides technology-enabled global transportation and value-added logistics solutions primarily in the United States and Canada.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.