ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

NYSE:ZTO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$15.9b

ZTO Express (Cayman) Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 2/6

ZTO Express (Cayman) has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 14.9%, while the Logistics industry saw earnings growing at 14.9% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 14% per year. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s return on equity is 14.2%, and it has net margins of 20.5%.

Key information

14.9%

Earnings growth rate

14.3%

EPS growth rate

Logistics Industry Growth19.0%
Revenue growth rate14.0%
Return on equity14.2%
Net Margin20.5%
Last Earnings Update30 Sep 2024

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

ZTO Express: Expect An Extended Price War, Downgrade To Hold

Nov 22

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Nov 18
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Returns Have Hit A Wall

ZTO Express: A Mix Of Positives And Negatives

Nov 06

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Shares Could Be 45% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Oct 18
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Shares Could Be 45% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Looks Just Right With A 26% Price Jump

Oct 03
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Looks Just Right With A 26% Price Jump

ZTO Express: Expecting Accelerating Volume Growth In H2

Aug 22

Returns Are Gaining Momentum At ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO)

Aug 17
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO)

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Using Too Much Debt?

Jun 25
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Using Too Much Debt?

ZTO Express: Still Undervalued Despite Unexpected Market Share Loss

Jun 12

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)

Jun 10
Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)

Does This Valuation Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?

May 08
Does This Valuation Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?

ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Apr 18
ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

ZTO Express: Getting Better And Cheaper

Mar 25

ZTO Express: Expecting In-Line Fourth Quarter Results

Feb 19

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Trading At A 33% Discount?

Jan 26
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Trading At A 33% Discount?

ZTO Momentum Slows In Third Quarter As Headwinds Build

Nov 28

ZTO Express: Best-In-Class And Trading At Significant Discount

Nov 20

ZTO Express: A Good Company In A Tough Industry

Oct 17

ZTO Express: Staying On The Sidelines

Aug 08

ZTO Express: Watch Industry Data And Company Guidance

May 30

ZTO Express: Consider 2023 Outlook And Share Price Outperformance

Feb 09

ZTO Express: Market Share Gains Negated By Weak Economic Environment

Aug 23

ZTO Express Q2 2022 Earnings Preview

Aug 16

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How ZTO Express (Cayman) makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.

Earnings and Revenue History

NYSE:ZTO Revenue, expenses and earnings (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
30 Sep 2441,9808,6262,7350
30 Jun 2440,3818,5752,6240
31 Mar 2439,3968,5052,5350
31 Dec 2338,4198,7492,4250
30 Sep 2337,6718,7192,2860
30 Jun 2337,5408,3092,2930
31 Mar 2336,4567,5732,2460
31 Dec 2235,3776,8092,0770
30 Sep 2234,7236,4091,9890
30 Jun 2233,1695,6401,9370
31 Mar 2231,8375,1271,8740
31 Dec 2130,4064,7551,8760
30 Sep 2129,4454,2811,8210
30 Jun 2128,6944,3151,8050
31 Mar 2127,7714,4711,7240
31 Dec 2025,2144,3121,6640
30 Sep 2023,8045,3501,6380
30 Jun 2022,4315,4571,5560
31 Mar 2021,4525,3681,5490
31 Dec 1922,1105,6741,5460
30 Sep 1920,8914,6231,4300
30 Jun 1919,8604,3751,3890
31 Mar 1918,6344,5071,3530
31 Dec 1817,6044,3831,2110
30 Sep 1816,3084,3301,1350
30 Jun 1815,2163,9871,1010
31 Mar 1813,9903,2131,0130
31 Dec 1713,0603,1607810
30 Sep 1711,9202,5927550
30 Jun 1711,1302,3826900
31 Mar 1710,4452,0527050
31 Dec 169,7891,8487060
30 Sep 168,7861,8656960
30 Jun 167,8461,5627230
31 Mar 166,8021,3836300
31 Dec 156,0861,2915920
31 Dec 143,9044063220

Quality Earnings: ZTO has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: ZTO's current net profit margins (20.5%) are lower than last year (23.1%).

Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: ZTO's earnings have grown by 14.9% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: ZTO's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: ZTO had negative earnings growth (-1.1%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Logistics industry average (-29.2%).

Return on Equity

High ROE: ZTO's Return on Equity (14.2%) is considered low.

Return on Assets

Return on Capital Employed

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 22:41
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is covered by 43 analysts. 24 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yiqun ChenBOCI Research Ltd.
Yifan ZhouBOCI Research Ltd.
Fan TsoBofA Global Research