ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

NYSE:ZTO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$19.4b

ZTO Express (Cayman) Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

ZTO Express (Cayman) is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.5% and 10% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.9% in 3 years.

Key information

13.5%

Earnings growth rate

12.1%

EPS growth rate

Logistics earnings growth12.6%
Revenue growth rate10.0%
Future return on equity15.9%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated23 May 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Does This Valuation Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?

May 08
Does This Valuation Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?

ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Apr 18
ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

ZTO Express: Getting Better And Cheaper

Mar 25

ZTO Express: Expecting In-Line Fourth Quarter Results

Feb 19

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Trading At A 33% Discount?

Jan 26
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Trading At A 33% Discount?

We Think ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Dec 26
We Think ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Here's What To Make Of ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Decelerating Rates Of Return

Dec 10
Here's What To Make Of ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Decelerating Rates Of Return

ZTO Momentum Slows In Third Quarter As Headwinds Build

Nov 28

ZTO Express: Best-In-Class And Trading At Significant Discount

Nov 20

Here's Why We Think ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Nov 07
Here's Why We Think ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Are Investors Undervaluing ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) By 28%?

Oct 23
Are Investors Undervaluing ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) By 28%?

ZTO Express: A Good Company In A Tough Industry

Oct 17

Here's Why ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Sep 23
Here's Why ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

Aug 14
ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

ZTO Express: Staying On The Sidelines

Aug 08

With EPS Growth And More, ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Makes An Interesting Case

Jul 25
With EPS Growth And More, ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Makes An Interesting Case

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)

Jul 09
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)

ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Jun 21
ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

ZTO Express: Watch Industry Data And Company Guidance

May 30

ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

May 04
ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

Does This Valuation Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?

Apr 02
Does This Valuation Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?

With EPS Growth And More, ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Makes An Interesting Case

Mar 19
With EPS Growth And More, ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Makes An Interesting Case

ZTO Express: Consider 2023 Outlook And Share Price Outperformance

Feb 09

ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Jan 31
ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Here's What's Concerning About ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Returns On Capital

Jan 02
Here's What's Concerning About ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Returns On Capital

A Look At The Fair Value Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)

Dec 20
A Look At The Fair Value Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)

ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

Oct 01
ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Shares Could Be 35% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Sep 16
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Shares Could Be 35% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Aug 31
ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

ZTO Express: Market Share Gains Negated By Weak Economic Environment

Aug 23

ZTO Express Q2 2022 Earnings Preview

Aug 16

The Returns At ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Aren't Growing

Jun 30
The Returns At ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Aren't Growing

An Intrinsic Calculation For ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Suggests It's 21% Undervalued

Jun 14
An Intrinsic Calculation For ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Suggests It's 21% Undervalued

Does ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

May 30
Does ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

Mar 28
ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

ZTO Emerges From Latest Delivery Price Wars With Return To Profit Growth

Mar 24

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)

Dec 13
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)

ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Nov 26
ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

Oct 27
ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Aug 25
ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Some Investors May Be Worried About ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Returns On Capital

Jul 26
Some Investors May Be Worried About ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Returns On Capital

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:ZTO - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202653,80813,26311,51717,48421
12/31/202548,97011,59910,23215,84027
12/31/202443,1099,8347,03413,58224
3/31/202439,3968,5055,98412,654N/A
12/31/202338,4198,7496,69113,361N/A
9/30/202337,6718,7195,79513,208N/A
6/30/202337,5408,3094,51413,093N/A
3/31/202336,4567,5735,69913,112N/A
12/31/202235,3776,8094,06711,479N/A
9/30/202234,7236,4091,40510,733N/A
6/30/202233,1695,6401,5389,697N/A
3/31/202231,8375,127-1,4797,849N/A
12/31/202130,4064,755-2,1087,220N/A
9/30/202129,4454,281-2,9716,237N/A
6/30/202128,6944,315-3,7955,930N/A
3/31/202127,7714,471-3,9585,250N/A
12/31/202025,2144,312-4,2574,951N/A
9/30/202023,8045,350-565,171N/A
6/30/202022,4315,457-2,3725,108N/A
3/31/202021,4525,3686225,849N/A
12/31/201922,1105,6741,0786,304N/A
9/30/201920,8914,6231,9375,846N/A
6/30/201919,8604,375-3035,340N/A
3/31/201918,6344,5079144,823N/A
12/31/201817,6044,3834944,404N/A
9/30/201816,3084,3301,1473,973N/A
6/30/201815,2163,9871,2594,086N/A
3/31/201813,9903,2136873,513N/A
12/31/201713,0603,160N/A3,631N/A
9/30/201711,9202,592N/A3,442N/A
6/30/201711,1302,382N/A3,229N/A
3/31/201710,4452,052N/A2,640N/A
12/31/20169,7891,848N/A2,572N/A
9/30/20168,7861,865N/A2,442N/A
6/30/20167,8461,562N/A2,042N/A
3/31/20166,8021,383N/A1,920N/A
12/31/20156,0861,291N/A2,134N/A
12/31/20143,904406N/A1,072N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ZTO's forecast earnings growth (13.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.4%).

Earnings vs Market: ZTO's earnings (13.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ZTO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ZTO's revenue (10% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ZTO's revenue (10% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ZTO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.9%).


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