ZTO Express (Cayman) Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
ZTO Express (Cayman) is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.7% and 9.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.8% in 3 years.
Key information
13.7%
Earnings growth rate
11.4%
EPS growth rate
| Logistics earnings growth | 13.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | 9.3% |
| Future return on equity | 14.8% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 20 Nov 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Returns Have Hit A Wall
Nov 18
ZTO Express: A Mix Of Positives And Negatives
Nov 06ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Shares Could Be 45% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Oct 18ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Looks Just Right With A 26% Price Jump
Oct 03ZTO Express: Expecting Accelerating Volume Growth In H2
Aug 22Returns Are Gaining Momentum At ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO)
Aug 17Is ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Using Too Much Debt?
Jun 25ZTO Express: Still Undervalued Despite Unexpected Market Share Loss
Jun 12Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)
Jun 10Does This Valuation Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?
May 08ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward
Apr 18ZTO Express: Getting Better And Cheaper
Mar 25ZTO Express: Expecting In-Line Fourth Quarter Results
Feb 19Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Trading At A 33% Discount?
Jan 26We Think ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Dec 26Here's What To Make Of ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Decelerating Rates Of Return
Dec 10ZTO Momentum Slows In Third Quarter As Headwinds Build
Nov 28ZTO Express: Best-In-Class And Trading At Significant Discount
Nov 20Here's Why We Think ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
Nov 07Are Investors Undervaluing ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) By 28%?
Oct 23ZTO Express: A Good Company In A Tough Industry
Oct 17Here's Why ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Sep 23ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
Aug 14ZTO Express: Staying On The Sidelines
Aug 08With EPS Growth And More, ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Makes An Interesting Case
Jul 25Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)
Jul 09ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Jun 21ZTO Express: Watch Industry Data And Company Guidance
May 30ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
May 04Does This Valuation Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?
Apr 02With EPS Growth And More, ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Makes An Interesting Case
Mar 19ZTO Express: Consider 2023 Outlook And Share Price Outperformance
Feb 09ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Jan 31Here's What's Concerning About ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Returns On Capital
Jan 02A Look At The Fair Value Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)
Dec 20ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
Oct 01ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Shares Could Be 35% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Sep 16ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Aug 31ZTO Express: Market Share Gains Negated By Weak Economic Environment
Aug 23ZTO Express Q2 2022 Earnings Preview
Aug 16The Returns At ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Aren't Growing
Jun 30An Intrinsic Calculation For ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Suggests It's 21% Undervalued
Jun 14Does ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
May 30Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 53,243 | 12,694 | 10,256 | 16,813 | 22 |
| 12/31/2025 | 48,046 | 11,176 | 9,561 | 15,550 | 25 |
| 12/31/2024 | 43,135 | 9,543 | 6,703 | 13,125 | 16 |
| 9/30/2024 | 41,980 | 8,626 | 5,877 | 12,546 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 40,381 | 8,575 | 7,236 | 12,373 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 39,396 | 8,505 | 5,984 | 12,654 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 38,419 | 8,749 | 6,691 | 13,361 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 37,671 | 8,719 | 5,795 | 13,208 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 37,540 | 8,309 | 4,514 | 13,093 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 36,456 | 7,573 | 5,699 | 13,112 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 35,377 | 6,809 | 4,067 | 11,479 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 34,723 | 6,409 | 1,405 | 10,733 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 33,169 | 5,640 | 1,538 | 9,697 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 31,837 | 5,127 | -1,479 | 7,849 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 30,406 | 4,755 | -2,108 | 7,220 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 29,445 | 4,281 | -2,971 | 6,237 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 28,694 | 4,315 | -3,795 | 5,930 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 27,771 | 4,471 | -3,958 | 5,250 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 25,214 | 4,312 | -4,257 | 4,951 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 23,804 | 5,350 | -56 | 5,171 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 22,431 | 5,457 | -2,372 | 5,108 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 21,452 | 5,368 | 622 | 5,849 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 22,110 | 5,674 | 1,078 | 6,304 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 20,891 | 4,623 | 1,937 | 5,846 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 19,860 | 4,375 | -303 | 5,340 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 18,634 | 4,507 | 914 | 4,823 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 17,604 | 4,383 | 494 | 4,404 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 16,308 | 4,330 | 1,147 | 3,973 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 15,216 | 3,987 | N/A | 4,086 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 13,990 | 3,213 | N/A | 3,513 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 13,060 | 3,160 | N/A | 3,631 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 11,920 | 2,592 | N/A | 3,442 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 11,130 | 2,382 | N/A | 3,229 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 10,445 | 2,052 | N/A | 2,640 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 9,789 | 1,848 | N/A | 2,572 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 8,786 | 1,865 | N/A | 2,442 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 7,846 | 1,562 | N/A | 2,042 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 6,802 | 1,383 | N/A | 1,920 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 6,086 | 1,291 | N/A | 2,134 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 3,904 | 406 | N/A | 1,072 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ZTO's forecast earnings growth (13.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: ZTO's earnings (13.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: ZTO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: ZTO's revenue (9.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ZTO's revenue (9.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ZTO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.8%).