ZTO Express (Cayman) Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
ZTO Express (Cayman) is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11.3% and 9.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 10% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.4% in 3 years.
Key information
11.3%
Earnings growth rate
10.0%
EPS growth rate
| Logistics earnings growth | 11.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 9.8% |
| Future return on equity | 16.4% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 24 Apr 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward
Apr 18
ZTO Express: Getting Better And Cheaper
Mar 25ZTO Express: Expecting In-Line Fourth Quarter Results
Feb 19Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Trading At A 33% Discount?
Jan 26We Think ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Dec 26Here's What To Make Of ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Decelerating Rates Of Return
Dec 10ZTO Momentum Slows In Third Quarter As Headwinds Build
Nov 28ZTO Express: Best-In-Class And Trading At Significant Discount
Nov 20Here's Why We Think ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
Nov 07Are Investors Undervaluing ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) By 28%?
Oct 23ZTO Express: A Good Company In A Tough Industry
Oct 17Here's Why ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Sep 23ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
Aug 14ZTO Express: Staying On The Sidelines
Aug 08With EPS Growth And More, ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Makes An Interesting Case
Jul 25Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)
Jul 09ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Jun 21ZTO Express: Watch Industry Data And Company Guidance
May 30ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
May 04Does This Valuation Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?
Apr 02With EPS Growth And More, ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Makes An Interesting Case
Mar 19ZTO Express: Consider 2023 Outlook And Share Price Outperformance
Feb 09ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Jan 31Here's What's Concerning About ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Returns On Capital
Jan 02A Look At The Fair Value Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)
Dec 20ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
Oct 01ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Shares Could Be 35% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Sep 16ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Aug 31ZTO Express: Market Share Gains Negated By Weak Economic Environment
Aug 23ZTO Express Q2 2022 Earnings Preview
Aug 16The Returns At ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Aren't Growing
Jun 30An Intrinsic Calculation For ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) Suggests It's 21% Undervalued
Jun 14Does ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
May 30ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital
Mar 28ZTO Emerges From Latest Delivery Price Wars With Return To Profit Growth
Mar 24A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO)
Dec 13ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Nov 26ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
Oct 27ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Aug 25Some Investors May Be Worried About ZTO Express (Cayman)'s (NYSE:ZTO) Returns On Capital
Jul 26Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 53,723 | 13,027 | 9,384 | 14,051 | 16 |
| 12/31/2025 | 49,129 | 11,672 | 9,226 | 15,934 | 26 |
| 12/31/2024 | 42,886 | 9,943 | 7,404 | 13,703 | 24 |
| 12/31/2023 | 38,419 | 8,749 | 6,691 | 13,361 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 37,671 | 8,719 | 5,795 | 13,208 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 37,540 | 8,309 | 4,514 | 13,093 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 36,456 | 7,573 | 5,699 | 13,112 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 35,377 | 6,809 | 4,067 | 11,479 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 34,723 | 6,409 | 1,405 | 10,733 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 33,169 | 5,640 | 1,538 | 9,697 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 31,837 | 5,127 | -1,479 | 7,849 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 30,406 | 4,755 | -2,108 | 7,220 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 29,445 | 4,281 | -2,971 | 6,237 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 28,694 | 4,315 | -3,795 | 5,930 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 27,771 | 4,471 | -3,958 | 5,250 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 25,214 | 4,312 | -4,257 | 4,951 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 23,804 | 5,350 | -56 | 5,171 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 22,431 | 5,457 | -2,372 | 5,108 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 21,452 | 5,368 | 622 | 5,849 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 22,110 | 5,674 | 1,078 | 6,304 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 20,891 | 4,623 | 1,937 | 5,846 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 19,860 | 4,375 | -303 | 5,340 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 18,634 | 4,507 | 914 | 4,823 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 17,604 | 4,383 | 494 | 4,404 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 16,308 | 4,330 | 1,147 | 3,973 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 15,216 | 3,987 | 1,259 | 4,086 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 13,990 | 3,213 | 687 | 3,513 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 13,060 | 3,160 | 804 | 3,631 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 11,920 | 2,592 | N/A | 3,442 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 11,130 | 2,382 | N/A | 3,229 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 10,445 | 2,052 | N/A | 2,640 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 9,789 | 1,848 | N/A | 2,572 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 8,786 | 1,865 | N/A | 2,442 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 7,846 | 1,562 | N/A | 2,042 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 6,802 | 1,383 | N/A | 1,920 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 6,086 | 1,291 | N/A | 2,134 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 3,904 | 406 | N/A | 1,072 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ZTO's forecast earnings growth (11.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).
Earnings vs Market: ZTO's earnings (11.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.6% per year).
High Growth Earnings: ZTO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: ZTO's revenue (9.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ZTO's revenue (9.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ZTO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.4%).