Stock Analysis

What Kind Of Shareholders Hold The Majority In ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.'s (NYSE:ZTO) Shares?

NYSE:ZTO
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A look at the shareholders of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) can tell us which group is most powerful. Large companies usually have institutions as shareholders, and we usually see insiders owning shares in smaller companies. Warren Buffett said that he likes "a business with enduring competitive advantages that is run by able and owner-oriented people." So it's nice to see some insider ownership, because it may suggest that management is owner-oriented.

ZTO Express (Cayman) has a market capitalization of US$30b, so it's too big to fly under the radar. We'd expect to see both institutions and retail investors owning a portion of the company. Taking a look at our data on the ownership groups (below), it seems that institutions are noticeable on the share registry. Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about ZTO Express (Cayman).

View our latest analysis for ZTO Express (Cayman)

ownership-breakdown
NYSE:ZTO Ownership Breakdown January 27th 2021

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About ZTO Express (Cayman)?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

ZTO Express (Cayman) already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see ZTO Express (Cayman)'s historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:ZTO Earnings and Revenue Growth January 27th 2021

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in ZTO Express (Cayman). With a 25% stake, CEO Meisong Lai is the largest shareholder. With 7.8% and 7.4% of the shares outstanding respectively, Jianfa Lai and Alibaba Group Holding Limited are the second and third largest shareholders. Interestingly, the second-largest shareholder, Jianfa Lai is also Senior Key Executive, again, pointing towards strong insider ownership amongst the company's top shareholders.

On looking further, we found that 51% of the shares are owned by the top 5 shareholders. In other words, these shareholders have a meaningful say in the decisions of the company.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of ZTO Express (Cayman)

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

It seems insiders own a significant proportion of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.. Insiders own US$12b worth of shares in the US$30b company. That's quite meaningful. Most would say this shows a good degree of alignment with shareholders, especially in a company of this size. You can click here to see if those insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 24% ownership, the general public have some degree of sway over ZTO Express (Cayman). While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Public Company Ownership

It appears to us that public companies own 7.4% of ZTO Express (Cayman). It's hard to say for sure but this suggests they have entwined business interests. This might be a strategic stake, so it's worth watching this space for changes in ownership.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for ZTO Express (Cayman) you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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