Stock Analysis

Schneider National's (NYSE:SNDR) Dividend Will Be $0.09

NYSE:SNDR
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The board of Schneider National, Inc. (NYSE:SNDR) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 8th of January, with investors receiving $0.09 per share. This means that the annual payment will be 1.5% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.

View our latest analysis for Schneider National

Schneider National's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Schneider National is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 20.5%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 10.0% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
NYSE:SNDR Historic Dividend December 6th 2023

Schneider National Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

Even though the company has been paying a consistent dividend for a while, we would like to see a few more years before we feel comfortable relying on it. Since 2017, the annual payment back then was $0.20, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $0.36. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 10% per annum over that time. The dividend has been growing rapidly, however with such a short payment history we can't know for sure if payment can continue to grow over the long term, so caution may be warranted.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. Over the past five years, it looks as though Schneider National's EPS has declined at around 7.2% a year. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits. Earnings are predicted to grow over the next year, but we would remain cautious until a track record of earnings growth is established.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Schneider National's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While Schneider National is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We don't think Schneider National is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Given that earnings are not growing, the dividend does not look nearly so attractive. Businesses can change though, and we think it would make sense to see what analysts are forecasting for the company. Is Schneider National not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.