Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Navios Maritime Holdings' (NYSE:NM) Shares Three Years Ago You Would Be Down 76%

NYSE:NM
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Navios Maritime Holdings Inc. (NYSE:NM) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 82% in the last quarter. But the last three years have seen a terrible decline. To wit, the share price sky-dived 76% in that time. Arguably, the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. Only time will tell if the company can sustain the turnaround.

View our latest analysis for Navios Maritime Holdings

Navios Maritime Holdings wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over the last three years, Navios Maritime Holdings' revenue dropped 1.4% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. Having said that the 21% annualized share price decline highlights the risk of investing in unprofitable companies. We're generally averse to companies with declining revenues, but we're not alone in that. There's no more than a snowball's chance in hell that share price will head back to its old highs, in the short term.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:NM Earnings and Revenue Growth January 12th 2021

Take a more thorough look at Navios Maritime Holdings' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Navios Maritime Holdings had a tough year, with a total loss of 14%, against a market gain of about 24%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 10% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Navios Maritime Holdings is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

Of course Navios Maritime Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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