Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX)

NYSE:KNX
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.3x in the Transportation industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:KNX) P/S ratio of 1.1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:KNX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

How Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 52% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.9% per year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 8.6% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.