Stock Analysis

Delta Air Lines, Inc. (NYSE:DAL) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

NYSE:DAL
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There wouldn't be many who think Delta Air Lines, Inc.'s (NYSE:DAL) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Airlines industry in the United States is very similar. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Delta Air Lines

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:DAL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 27th 2023

What Does Delta Air Lines' Recent Performance Look Like?

Delta Air Lines certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Delta Air Lines.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Delta Air Lines?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Delta Air Lines' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 23%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 133% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.6% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 4.7% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Delta Air Lines is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

When you consider that Delta Air Lines' revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Delta Air Lines you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Delta Air Lines is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.