Stock Analysis

Slowing Rates Of Return At United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:UAL) Leave Little Room For Excitement

NasdaqGS:UAL
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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. With that in mind, the ROCE of United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:UAL) looks decent, right now, so lets see what the trend of returns can tell us.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on United Airlines Holdings is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = US$5.3b ÷ (US$73b - US$26b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

Therefore, United Airlines Holdings has an ROCE of 11%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 8.2% generated by the Airlines industry.

View our latest analysis for United Airlines Holdings

roce
NasdaqGS:UAL Return on Capital Employed October 6th 2023

In the above chart we have measured United Airlines Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

The Trend Of ROCE

The trend of ROCE doesn't stand out much, but returns on a whole are decent. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 11% and the business has deployed 56% more capital into its operations. Since 11% is a moderate ROCE though, it's good to see a business can continue to reinvest at these decent rates of return. Over long periods of time, returns like these might not be too exciting, but with consistency they can pay off in terms of share price returns.

The Bottom Line On United Airlines Holdings' ROCE

The main thing to remember is that United Airlines Holdings has proven its ability to continually reinvest at respectable rates of return. Yet over the last five years the stock has declined 48%, so the decline might provide an opening. That's why we think it'd be worthwhile to look further into this stock given the fundamentals are appealing.

Like most companies, United Airlines Holdings does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:UAL

United Airlines Holdings

Through its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in North America, Asia, Europe, Africa, the Pacific, the Middle East, and Latin America.

Good value with proven track record.