When close to half the companies in the Airlines industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, you may consider SkyWest, Inc. (NASDAQ:SKYW) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 0.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for SkyWest
What Does SkyWest's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, SkyWest has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on SkyWest.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For SkyWest?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, SkyWest would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 10% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 42% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 12% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 70% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's alarming that SkyWest's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for SkyWest, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware SkyWest is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of SkyWest's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:SKYW
SkyWest
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of a regional airline in the United States.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.