Stock Analysis

Pyxis Tankers (NASDAQ:PXS) Is Posting Solid Earnings, But It Is Not All Good News

NasdaqCM:PXS
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Solid profit numbers didn't seem to be enough to please Pyxis Tankers Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PXS) shareholders. We think that they might be concerned about some underlying details that our analysis found.

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NasdaqCM:PXS Earnings and Revenue History March 22nd 2024

A Closer Look At Pyxis Tankers' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to December 2023, Pyxis Tankers had an accrual ratio of 0.40. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of US$11m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of US$36.2m. It's worth noting that Pyxis Tankers generated positive FCF of US$4.7m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Pyxis Tankers.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Pyxis Tankers' profit was boosted by unusual items worth US$25m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Pyxis Tankers' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Pyxis Tankers' Profit Performance

Pyxis Tankers had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that Pyxis Tankers'underlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. If you'd like to know more about Pyxis Tankers as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Pyxis Tankers (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Pyxis Tankers is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.