Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For JetBlue Airways Corporation (NASDAQ:JBLU) After Shares Rise 32%

NasdaqGS:JBLU
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JetBlue Airways Corporation (NASDAQ:JBLU) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 40% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about JetBlue Airways' P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Airlines industry in the United States is also close to 0.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for JetBlue Airways

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:JBLU Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 28th 2024

How JetBlue Airways Has Been Performing

JetBlue Airways could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think JetBlue Airways' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is JetBlue Airways' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like JetBlue Airways' to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.0%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 175% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 1.5% during the coming year according to the eleven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 47% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that JetBlue Airways' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does JetBlue Airways' P/S Mean For Investors?

JetBlue Airways' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of JetBlue Airways' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with JetBlue Airways (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant).

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.