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Air Transport Services Group Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 1/6
Air Transport Services Group's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -4.3%, while the Logistics industry saw earnings growing at 8.4% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 7.4% per year. Air Transport Services Group's return on equity is 1.8%, and it has net margins of 1.4%.
Key information
-4.25%
Earnings growth rate
-6.84%
EPS growth rate
| Logistics Industry Growth | 19.04% |
| Revenue growth rate | 7.44% |
| Return on equity | 1.85% |
| Net Margin | 1.40% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Dec 2024 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jan 24
Air Transport Services Group Stock: It Is Really Time To Sell
Summary Stonepeak Capital's $3.1 billion acquisition offer for Air Transport Services Group, Inc. is fair, providing a 29.3% premium per share. The acquisition price of $22.50 per share is reasonable, but the 0.6% premium against 2024 earnings and 5% discount against 2025 earnings frustrated some shareholders. The go-shop period expired without another suitor, and the stock's performance lagged the S&P 500, validating my sell rating from November. With no better offers and minimal spread to close, selling ATSG stock now and redeploying funds elsewhere is the optimal strategy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 05
No Use Holding Air Transport Services Group Any Longer
Summary Air Transport Services Group shares surged 26.6% after announcing an all-cash buyout by Stonepeak at $22.50 per share, a 29.3% premium. Despite the premium, the buyout multiples seem underwhelming, but in the broader context, the deal seems appropriate. Given the fair valuation and limited upside potential, I recommend considering a soft 'sell' on ATSG stock, barring another buyout offer. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Oct 07
Here's What's Concerning About Air Transport Services Group's (NASDAQ:ATSG) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
New Narrative • Sep 15
Amazon Partnership And Fleet Expansion Propel Revenue And Earnings Growth
Expansion with Amazon and new Airbus 330 leases signal growth and diversification into international markets, boosting revenue prospects.Analysis Article • Sep 10
When Should You Buy Air Transport Services Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATSG)?
While Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ATSG ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a...Seeking Alpha • Aug 28
Air Transport Services Group: A Buy On Market Stabilization And Amazon Opportunity
Summary Air Transport Services Group faces declining revenues and fixed costs, but the air freight market shows signs of stabilization, potentially benefiting the company. Second quarter revenues fell 7.7%, with operating income dropping 55%, highlighting the challenge of reducing costs amid soft demand. Positive developments include a new contract with Amazon and updated guidance for 2024, reflecting lower CapEx and incremental earnings improvements. Despite a complex environment, the stock is upgraded to "Buy" with a price target of $22.35, driven by long-term e-commerce growth trends. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 11
Is There An Opportunity With Air Transport Services Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ATSG) 22% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Air Transport Services Group's estimated fair value is US$20.00 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Analysis Article • Jul 17
Earnings Tell The Story For Air Transport Services Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATSG) As Its Stock Soars 29%
The Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ATSG ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an...Analysis Article • Jun 09
Should You Investigate Air Transport Services Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATSG) At US$12.39?
While Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ATSG ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a...Analysis Article • May 09
What You Can Learn From Air Transport Services Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ATSG) P/E
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may...Seeking Alpha • May 08
Why Is Air Transport Services Group Stock Up? Amazon Is The Answer
Summary Air Transport Services Group's revenues declined by 3% in Q1 2024, with earnings per share of $0.16. The company's operating income fell from 30% to $33 million, resulting in a significant reduction in profits. ATSG has secured a new contract with Amazon to fly 10 additional freighters, leading to a surge in stock prices. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 22
Air Transport Services Group's (NASDAQ:ATSG) Returns Have Hit A Wall
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business...Analysis Article • Feb 29
At US$12.19, Is Air Transport Services Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATSG) Worth Looking At Closely?
Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ATSG ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of...Analysis Article • Jan 18
Air Transport Services Group (NASDAQ:ATSG) Has No Shortage Of Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Dec 19
Air Transport Services Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ATSG) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may...Analysis Article • Oct 12
Does Air Transport Services Group (NASDAQ:ATSG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jul 20
Is There Now An Opportunity In Air Transport Services Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATSG)?
While Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ATSG ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it...Analysis Article • Jun 13
Air Transport Services Group (NASDAQ:ATSG) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Feb 26
An Intrinsic Calculation For Air Transport Services Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATSG) Suggests It's 35% Undervalued
Key Insights The projected fair value for Air Transport Services Group is US$31.19 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to...Analysis Article • Feb 03
Is Air Transport Services Group (NASDAQ:ATSG) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Oct 26
Does Air Transport Services Group (NASDAQ:ATSG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Sep 20
With EPS Growth And More, Air Transport Services Group (NASDAQ:ATSG) Makes An Interesting Case
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Air Transport Services Group makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 24 | 1,962 | 27 | 135 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 1,962 | -3 | 135 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 2,014 | 18 | 140 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 2,055 | 48 | 139 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 2,071 | 60 | 138 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 2,087 | 118 | 137 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 2,080 | 151 | 130 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 2,061 | 167 | 127 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 2,045 | 196 | 122 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 1,995 | 199 | 118 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 1,944 | 211 | 114 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 1,844 | 236 | 104 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 1,734 | 229 | 99 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 1,651 | 187 | 92 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 1,589 | 119 | 87 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 1,557 | -66 | 86 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 1,571 | 25 | 87 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 1,575 | -18 | 93 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 1,536 | 93 | 97 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 1,493 | 171 | 100 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 1,452 | 60 | 98 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 1,330 | 96 | 87 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 1,168 | 24 | 69 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 1,037 | 75 | 55 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 892 | 68 | 41 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 935 | 167 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 984 | 106 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 1,033 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 1,068 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 967 | -73 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 906 | -43 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 829 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 769 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 729 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 678 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 650 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 619 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 596 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 592 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 15 | 593 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 14 | 590 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 14 | 589 | -17 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 14 | 591 | -19 | 24 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: ATSG has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: ATSG's current net profit margins (1.4%) are lower than last year (2.9%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: ATSG's earnings have declined by 4.3% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: ATSG's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: ATSG had negative earnings growth (-54.1%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Logistics industry average (-0.5%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: ATSG's Return on Equity (1.8%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/04/10 16:07 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/04/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Air Transport Services Group, Inc. is covered by 8 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Kevin Sterling | Benchmark Company |
| Kenneth Hoexter | BofA Global Research |
| Ian Zaffino | Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. |