Stock Analysis

Investors Can Find Comfort In American Airlines Group's (NASDAQ:AAL) Earnings Quality

NasdaqGS:AAL
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The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL), despite the profit numbers being soft. We think that investors might be looking at some positive factors beyond the earnings numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for American Airlines Group

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NasdaqGS:AAL Earnings and Revenue History October 31st 2024

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

For anyone who wants to understand American Airlines Group's profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit was reduced by US$880m due to unusual items. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect American Airlines Group to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On American Airlines Group's Profit Performance

Because unusual items detracted from American Airlines Group's earnings over the last year, you could argue that we can expect an improved result in the current quarter. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that American Airlines Group's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've found that American Airlines Group has 4 warning signs (2 are significant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of American Airlines Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.