Stock Analysis

United States Cellular (NYSE:USM) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

NYSE:USM
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies United States Cellular Corporation (NYSE:USM) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for United States Cellular

What Is United States Cellular's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that United States Cellular had US$2.92b of debt in September 2023, down from US$3.19b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$153.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$2.77b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:USM Debt to Equity History December 19th 2023

How Healthy Is United States Cellular's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that United States Cellular had liabilities of US$1.03b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$5.09b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$153.0m and US$961.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$5.00b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$3.36b, we think shareholders really should watch United States Cellular's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While we wouldn't worry about United States Cellular's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.5, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.62 times is a sign of high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Even more troubling is the fact that United States Cellular actually let its EBIT decrease by 4.2% over the last year. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if United States Cellular can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, United States Cellular burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both United States Cellular's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like United States Cellular has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for United States Cellular (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.