Stock Analysis

Is Fab2’s Advanced Flash Memory Launch Shifting the Investment Case for Sandisk (SNDK)?

  • In late September 2025, Kioxia Corporation and Sandisk Corporation announced the start of operations at their new Fab2 semiconductor facility in Kitakami, Japan, which will produce advanced 218-layer 3D flash memory using CBA technology for next-generation AI-driven storage solutions.
  • A portion of Fab2's investment is subsidized by the Japanese government, highlighting official support for advancing high-performance memory manufacturing to meet global AI and cloud storage demand.
  • We'll examine how the Fab2 facility's advanced capabilities may reshape Sandisk's investment narrative as AI-driven storage needs accelerate.

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What Is Sandisk's Investment Narrative?

For anyone considering Sandisk as an investment today, the big picture focus is on whether its commitment to next-generation flash memory pays off as AI and cloud storage needs surge. The Fab2 production launch with Kioxia is likely to shift near-term catalysts, giving Sandisk the manufacturing scale and technical edge it needs to produce advanced 218-layer 3D products just as AI storage demand rises. With government backing and a ramp-up that matches market trends, Fab2 could address key supply constraints and support potential revenue growth. However, recent price momentum and a sharp rise ahead of Fab2 output suggest that some of the good news may already be priced in, while risks around unprofitability, recent goodwill impairments, index exclusion, and execution on large-scale capital investments remain highly relevant. The impact of the Fab2 facility is hard to ignore, but investors should weigh expanding opportunities against the operational and financial challenges still facing Sandisk. On the other hand, index exclusion could influence institutional demand, something investors should have on their radar.

Sandisk's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued by 21%. Find out what it's worth.

Exploring Other Perspectives

SNDK Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
SNDK Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
Six individual fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community stretch between US$63.71 and US$163.73 per share, showing sharp contrasts in how investors assess Sandisk’s future. But as Fab2’s advanced memory output nears and unprofitability persists, the wide range in these views underscores how sharply opinions can split on Sandisk’s risks and potential. Explore these varied perspectives to see where you stand.

Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Sandisk - why the stock might be worth as much as 26% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqGS:SNDK

Sandisk

Develops, manufactures, and sells data storage devices and solutions using NAND flash technology in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and internationally.

Good value with adequate balance sheet.

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