Genasys Inc. (NASDAQ:GNSS) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 25% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Communications industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Genasys as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Genasys
How Genasys Has Been Performing
Genasys could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Genasys' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Genasys' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Genasys' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 21%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 46% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 128% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.8% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Genasys' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What Does Genasys' P/S Mean For Investors?
Genasys' P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Genasys maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Communications industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Genasys (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Genasys, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.