Stock Analysis

Xperi Inc. (NYSE:XPER) Shares Fly 27% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

NYSE:XPER
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Xperi Inc. (NYSE:XPER) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Xperi may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 5.8x and even P/S higher than 14x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Xperi

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:XPER Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 13th 2024

What Does Xperi's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Xperi's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Xperi's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Xperi's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Xperi would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.1% decrease to the company's top line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 0.3% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 26%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Xperi is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Xperi's P/S?

Even after such a strong price move, Xperi's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Xperi maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Xperi that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.