Taking Stock of SentinelOne (S) Valuation After Earnings Beat, AWS Integrations and Leadership Changes
SentinelOne (S) just packed several catalysts into a few days, combining stronger quarterly results, fresh revenue guidance, new Amazon Web Services integrations, and leadership changes that together give investors plenty to reassess.
See our latest analysis for SentinelOne.
Those earnings beats, fresh $1.0 billion revenue outlook and new AWS integrations have helped the 7 day share price return reach 6.46%. However, the year to date share price return of negative 24.81% and 1 year total shareholder return of negative 31.82% show investors are still treating SentinelOne as a higher risk, long term growth story rather than a momentum trade.
If this kind of AI driven cybersecurity story is on your radar, it is worth seeing what else is out there with high growth tech and AI stocks as potential next wave candidates.
With revenue now tracking toward $1 billion and the stock still trading well below average analyst targets, investors face a key question: Is SentinelOne undervalued after a bruising year, or already pricing in its next growth leg?
Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 27.8% Undervalued
With SentinelOne last closing at $16.97 versus a narrative fair value near $23.50, the gap points to meaningful upside if the thesis holds.
The new SentinelOne Flex licensing model is accelerating multi product adoption, leading to larger deal sizes, increased platform retention, and rising recurring revenue, all of which support both near term and long term net margin expansion through reduced sales friction and deeper customer integration.
Curious how recurring revenue, margin expansion, and aggressive growth forecasts all combine into that punchy fair value? Want to see which bold assumptions drive it? Dive in.
Result: Fair Value of $23.50 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, sustained partner dependence and intensifying platform consolidation could squeeze margins, slow adoption, and quickly challenge the current undervalued narrative.
Find out about the key risks to this SentinelOne narrative.
Another View: Market Ratios Send a Different Signal
While narratives and fair value estimates suggest upside, the market’s own yardstick is less generous. SentinelOne trades on a price to sales ratio of 6.3 times, slightly richer than both US software peers at 5 times and direct peers at 6.2 times. This implies there is little margin for execution missteps.
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Build Your Own SentinelOne Narrative
If you see things differently or prefer to dig into the numbers yourself, you can shape a fresh narrative in just a few minutes. Do it your way
A great starting point for your SentinelOne research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if SentinelOne might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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