Stock Analysis

Reassessing D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Valuation as It Launches a U.S. Government-Focused Quantum Business Unit

D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) just carved out a dedicated business unit to court U.S. government work, a meaningful shift that ties its quantum hardware and services directly to rising federal, defense, and national security demand.

See our latest analysis for D-Wave Quantum.

The move comes as D-Wave’s share price has swung sharply, with an 11.47 percent 1 day share price return and a 30 day share price pullback after a powerful 90 day share price return and 1 year total shareholder return of 744.44 percent. This suggests momentum is pausing rather than broken as investors reassess risk around valuation and cash burn.

If this kind of quantum driven rerating has your attention, it could be a good moment to explore other high growth tech names through high growth tech and AI stocks and see what else is emerging.

With shares still trading at a steep premium to today’s tiny revenues but at a heavy discount to bullish analyst targets, are investors staring at an early entry into a quantum winner or a market already pricing in tomorrow’s growth?

Advertisement

Price to Book of 13.1x: Is it justified?

On a price to book basis, D-Wave Quantum’s last close of $25.08 sits at a valuation that looks stretched against both software peers and its own fundamentals.

The price to book multiple compares the company’s market value to its accounting equity, a common yardstick for asset light, IP heavy software and platform businesses. For D-Wave Quantum, that figure stands at 13.1 times, which implies investors are assigning a very high premium to its current balance sheet.

Against the broader U.S. Software industry’s average of 3.4 times book value, D-Wave Quantum’s 13.1 times multiple signals aggressive expectations for future growth and commercialization of its quantum technology rather than today’s loss making reality. When compared with a peer group average of 10.4 times, the stock still screens meaningfully more expensive, which suggests the market is already paying up for a best in class outcome rather than a work in progress.

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

Result: Price to book of 13.1x (OVERVALUED)

However, risks remain, including heavy cash burn against modest $24 million revenues and the possibility that government demand or commercialization will ramp more slowly than expected.

Find out about the key risks to this D-Wave Quantum narrative.

Build Your Own D-Wave Quantum Narrative

If you would rather dig into the numbers yourself and challenge this view, you can build a personalized D-Wave Quantum storyline in minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your D-Wave Quantum research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

Looking for more investment ideas?

Before you move on, lock in your next opportunities with focused stock ideas on Simply Wall Street that many investors will not notice until it is too late.

  • Capitalize on mispriced quality by scanning these 919 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that balance attractive cash flow discounts with solid fundamentals and room for sentiment to catch up.
  • Ride powerful thematic growth by targeting these 25 AI penny stocks positioned at the crossroads of machine learning, automation, and data infrastructure demand.
  • Position yourself ahead of the next computing wave by reviewing these 27 quantum computing stocks that could benefit as real world applications move from pilots to scaled deployment.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About NYSE:QBTS

D-Wave Quantum

Develops and delivers quantum computing systems, software, and services worldwide.

Excellent balance sheet with slight risk.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.4% undervalued
35 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
10 users have liked this narrative
RO
Robbo
FID logo
Robbo on Fiducian Group ·

Fiducian: Compliance Clouds or Value Opportunity?

Fair Value:AU$126.1% undervalued
4 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
WO
WVVI logo
woodworthfund on Willamette Valley Vineyards ·

Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI): Not-So-Great Value

Fair Value:US$244.5% overvalued
6 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

FU
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6411.4% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
MA
MarkoVT
GOOGL logo
MarkoVT on Alphabet ·

Positioned globally, partnered locally

Fair Value:US$390.1918.1% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
JO
JohnJ
WLN logo
JohnJ on Worldline ·

When will fraudsters be investigated in depth. Fraud was ongoing in France too.

Fair Value:€0.5190.0% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
113 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3928.3% undervalued
952 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative
OS
oscargarcia
GOOGL logo
oscargarcia on Alphabet ·

The company that turned a verb into a global necessity and basically runs the modern internet, digital ads, smartphones, maps, and AI.

Fair Value:US$3406.0% undervalued
148 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative