Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For PROS Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PRO) Underpins Stock's 25% Plummet

NYSE:PRO
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, PROS Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PRO) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 46% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, PROS Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.7x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for PROS Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:PRO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 26th 2024

What Does PROS Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, PROS Holdings has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on PROS Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as PROS Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.4%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 29% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 9.4% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 24%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why PROS Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

PROS Holdings' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that PROS Holdings maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for PROS Holdings (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.