Is PagerDuty, Inc. (NYSE:PD) Potentially Undervalued?

PagerDuty, Inc. (NYSE:PD), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$34.98 and falling to the lows of US$22.22. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether PagerDuty's current trading price of US$22.42 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at PagerDuty’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for PagerDuty

Is PagerDuty Still Cheap?

According to my valuation model, PagerDuty seems to be fairly priced at around 17% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy PagerDuty today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $27.04, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. What's more, PagerDuty’s share price may be more stable over time (relative to the market), as indicated by its low beta.

What does the future of PagerDuty look like?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. In the upcoming year, PagerDuty's earnings are expected to increase by 52%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? PD’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on PD, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with PagerDuty, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If you are no longer interested in PagerDuty, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.