This company has been acquired
Model N Valuation
Is MODN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of MODN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: MODN ($30) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($31.48)
Significantly Below Fair Value: MODN is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MODN?
Key metric: As MODN is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is MODN's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 4.6x |
| Sales | US$256.31m |
| Market Cap | US$1.18b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 4.4x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 225.6x |
| PEG Ratio | 56.8x |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does MODN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 5x | ||
RSKD Riskified | 2.5x | 7.6% | US$807.2m |
MTTR Matterport | 9.5x | 12.4% | US$1.6b |
EVBG Everbridge | 3.2x | 4.5% | US$1.5b |
WKME WalkMe | 4.8x | 10.1% | US$1.3b |
MODN Model N | 4.6x | 9.4% | US$1.2b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MODN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the peer average (4.9x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does MODN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MODN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the US Software industry average (4.2x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MODN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 4.6x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 2.2x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MODN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.