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Everbridge Valuation

Is EVBG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EVBG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EVBG ($35) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EVBG is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EVBG?

Key metric: As EVBG is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for EVBG. This is calculated by dividing EVBG's market cap by their current revenue.
What is EVBG's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.2x
SalesUS$451.95m
Market CapUS$1.46b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does EVBG's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for EVBG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.5x
MTTR Matterport
9.1x12.4%US$1.5b
PRO PROS Holdings
3.3x9.7%US$1.1b
SUMO Sumo Logic
5x14.1%US$1.5b
WKME WalkMe
4.8x10.1%US$1.3b
EVBG Everbridge
3.2x4.5%US$1.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: EVBG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.2x) compared to the peer average (5.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does EVBG's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

76 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.12b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.8x15.8%US$796.22m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$416.92m
0.6x1.1%US$416.81m
EVBG 3.2xIndustry Avg. 5.6xNo. of Companies76PS048121620+
76 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: EVBG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.2x) compared to the US Software industry average (4.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EVBG's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EVBG PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.2x
Fair PS Ratio2.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: EVBG is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EVBG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$31.25
0%
20.8%US$35.00US$20.00n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
US$31.25
0%
20.8%US$35.00US$20.00n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
US$31.25
0%
20.8%US$35.00US$20.00n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
US$31.25
0%
20.8%US$35.00US$20.00n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
US$31.25
0%
20.8%US$35.00US$20.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$35.00
US$31.25
-10.7%
20.8%US$35.00US$20.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$34.76
US$31.25
-10.1%
20.8%US$35.00US$20.00n/a4
May ’25US$34.78
US$30.80
-11.4%
19.1%US$35.00US$20.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$34.82
US$30.80
-11.5%
19.1%US$35.00US$20.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$35.57
US$30.80
-13.4%
19.1%US$35.00US$20.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$23.90
US$24.00
+0.4%
21.1%US$35.00US$19.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$24.31
US$23.70
-2.5%
21.7%US$35.00US$19.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$21.32
US$23.70
+11.2%
21.7%US$35.00US$19.00n/a10
Nov ’24US$20.22
US$27.60
+36.5%
18.2%US$38.00US$21.00n/a10
Oct ’24US$22.42
US$27.64
+23.3%
16.5%US$38.00US$23.00n/a11
Sep ’24US$24.58
US$27.64
+12.4%
16.5%US$38.00US$23.00n/a11
Aug ’24US$30.63
US$30.27
-1.2%
14.2%US$40.00US$24.00n/a11
Jul ’24US$26.90
US$29.80
+10.8%
14.1%US$40.00US$24.00US$35.0010
Jun ’24US$25.10
US$29.80
+18.7%
14.1%US$40.00US$24.00US$34.7610
May ’24US$25.30
US$33.70
+33.2%
9.6%US$40.00US$30.00US$34.7810
Apr ’24US$34.67
US$34.40
-0.8%
11.3%US$41.00US$30.00US$34.8210
Mar ’24US$33.59
US$34.40
+2.4%
11.3%US$41.00US$30.00US$35.5710
Feb ’24US$33.13
US$31.80
-4.0%
12.4%US$40.00US$28.00US$23.9010
Jan ’24US$29.58
US$32.40
+9.5%
11.3%US$40.00US$28.00US$24.3110
Dec ’23US$33.40
US$31.50
-5.7%
13.3%US$40.00US$27.00US$21.3210

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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