Samsara Inc.

NYSE:IOT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$28.3b

Samsara Valuation

Is IOT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IOT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IOT ($49.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($61.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IOT is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IOT?

Key metric: As IOT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for IOT. This is calculated by dividing IOT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is IOT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio25.2x
SalesUS$1.09b
Market CapUS$28.32b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does IOT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for IOT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.8x
SPLK Splunk
6.3x10.9%US$26.4b
HUBS HubSpot
13.9x14.7%US$35.9b
DDOG Datadog
16.9x17.9%US$44.6b
AZPN Aspen Technology
14.3x8.2%US$15.6b
IOT Samsara
25.2x18.9%US$28.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: IOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (25.2x) compared to the peer average (12.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does IOT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

83 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.09b
DSP Viant Technology
1x11.2%US$967.92m
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.7x15.8%US$697.52m
XPER Xperi
0.7x1.8%US$375.23m
IOT 25.2xIndustry Avg. 5.0xNo. of Companies83PS048121620+
83 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: IOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (25.2x) compared to the US Software industry average (5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IOT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IOT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio25.2x
Fair PS Ratio12.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: IOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (25.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IOT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$49.51
US$46.44
-6.2%
11.0%US$56.00US$40.00n/a17
Nov ’25US$46.22
US$46.44
+0.5%
11.0%US$56.00US$40.00n/a17
Oct ’25US$46.74
US$44.91
-3.9%
10.3%US$55.00US$40.00n/a15
Sep ’25US$41.07
US$41.44
+0.9%
8.6%US$47.00US$35.00n/a15
Aug ’25US$36.66
US$41.24
+12.5%
8.3%US$47.00US$35.00n/a15
Jul ’25US$34.85
US$41.24
+18.3%
8.3%US$47.00US$35.00n/a15
Jun ’25US$33.93
US$41.40
+22.0%
7.9%US$47.00US$35.65n/a14
May ’25US$35.25
US$41.40
+17.5%
7.9%US$47.00US$35.65n/a14
Apr ’25US$36.00
US$41.36
+14.9%
8.2%US$47.00US$35.65n/a13
Mar ’25US$34.99
US$35.13
+0.4%
8.5%US$40.00US$30.00n/a13
Feb ’25US$31.63
US$35.13
+11.1%
8.5%US$40.00US$30.00n/a13
Jan ’25US$33.38
US$34.20
+2.5%
7.7%US$40.00US$30.00n/a13
Dec ’24US$34.59
US$33.08
-4.4%
6.9%US$36.00US$30.00n/a12
Nov ’24US$22.34
US$29.83
+33.5%
9.2%US$34.00US$25.00US$46.2212
Oct ’24US$25.21
US$29.82
+18.3%
9.6%US$34.00US$25.00US$46.7411
Sep ’24US$30.93
US$29.82
-3.6%
9.6%US$34.00US$25.00US$41.0711
Aug ’24US$27.46
US$27.36
-0.4%
14.1%US$32.00US$20.00US$36.6611
Jul ’24US$27.71
US$27.36
-1.2%
14.1%US$32.00US$20.00US$34.8511
Jun ’24US$19.01
US$21.18
+11.4%
13.3%US$27.00US$17.00US$33.9311
May ’24US$17.98
US$20.73
+15.3%
12.5%US$27.00US$17.00US$35.2511
Apr ’24US$19.72
US$20.80
+5.5%
13.0%US$27.00US$17.00US$36.0010
Mar ’24US$16.31
US$17.00
+4.2%
13.6%US$22.00US$14.00US$34.999
Feb ’24US$14.40
US$16.50
+14.6%
14.5%US$22.00US$14.00US$31.638
Jan ’24US$12.43
US$17.38
+39.8%
14.9%US$22.00US$15.00US$33.388
Dec ’23US$9.90
US$17.13
+73.0%
18.1%US$22.00US$12.00US$34.598
Nov ’23US$11.84
US$18.88
+59.4%
10.1%US$22.00US$16.00US$22.348

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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