Samsara Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 3/6
Samsara has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 33.7%, while the Software industry saw earnings growing at 24.9% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 30.6% per year. Samsara's return on equity is 3.8%, and it has net margins of 3.3%.
Key information
33.68%
Earnings growth rate
45.62%
EPS growth rate
| Software Industry Growth | 17.33% |
| Revenue growth rate | 30.59% |
| Return on equity | 3.81% |
| Net Margin | 3.32% |
| Last Earnings Update | 02 May 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 10
IOT: Recurring Revenue And AI Demand Will Support Future Upside
Analysts modestly lowered the long term fair value estimate for Samsara to $53.00, while still raising near term price targets toward the low $40s, citing Q1 earnings strength, raised guidance, and solid annualized recurring revenue growth supported by broad customer momentum. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts recently lifted near term price targets for Samsara into the low US$40s, framing the Q1 report and guidance update as supportive of a higher valuation, even as long term fair value estimates eased slightly.Seeking Alpha • Jun 05
Samsara: A Big Bull Run Just Got More Fuel, But Zero Reaction
Summary Samsara Inc. is evolving into a critical AI-driven connected operations platform for the physical economy, bridging SaaS with real-world asset optimization. Fiscal Q1 2027 delivered 31% revenue growth to $478.8M, 30% ARR growth, and notable margin expansion, supporting a premium valuation. IOT's aggressive cross-selling, AI product launches, and enterprise customer growth underpin robust recurring revenue and expanding profitability. We recommend waiting for a pullback in IOT stock toward $30, but strong execution and structural demand indicate long-term upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • May 27
IOT: Recurring Revenue And AI Data Platform Will Support Future Upside
Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Samsara to $55.46 from $59.16, reflecting a moderation in revenue growth assumptions, higher margin expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple after a mix of higher and lower Street price targets clustered around strong recent results and recurring revenue trends. Analyst Commentary Street research around Samsara points to generally constructive sentiment, with several bullish analysts raising price targets after recent results and updated guidance.
New Narrative • May 11
Samsara’s 30% ARR Growth Could Drive 70%+ Upside
Samsara is a pioneering IoT platform company focused on connecting data from physical operations such as transportation, construction, and logistics. In fiscal year 2026 (ending January 2026), Samsara’s annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $1.89 billion, growing 30% year-over-year.
Narrative Update • Apr 28
IOT: Future Returns Will Reflect AI Safety Data In Connected Fleets
The analyst price target for Samsara has been refined modestly, reflecting a mix of recent target hikes and cuts that reference strong ARR growth, expanding relationships with larger customers, and views of the company as a potential AI beneficiary, while some firms reset expectations after earlier target reductions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Samsara reflects a generally constructive tone on growth and execution, with some pullbacks in price targets as valuation expectations reset.
Narrative Update • Apr 14
IOT: AI Safety Workflow Automation Will Shape Future Returns
The updated analyst price target for Samsara moves to an implied fair value of $32.57 from $30.00, as analysts highlight stronger annualized recurring revenue trends, growing traction with larger enterprise customers, and what they view as a solid position to benefit from AI driven workflow automation across a broad customer base. Analyst Commentary Street research around Samsara reflects a mix of optimism on growth metrics and AI positioning alongside more cautious views on valuation and future execution.Narrative Update • Mar 30
IOT: Future Returns Will Reflect AI Safety Data Moat In Connected Fleets
Analysts made a modest upward revision to the Samsara price target to around $44, reflecting a mix of higher targets from several firms and lower targets from others. The underlying rationale centers on strong recurring revenue trends, large enterprise customer traction, and confidence in the durability of its software growth profile.Narrative Update • Mar 16
IOT: Future Returns Will Reflect AI Safety Data Moat In Fleet Operations
Analysts have adjusted the Samsara fair value estimate down from $48.93 to $44.17, reflecting a mix of higher and lower Street price targets as they weigh strong recurring revenue trends, large customer momentum, and AI-related opportunities against updated growth and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research around Samsara reflects a blend of optimism on growth execution and recurring revenue, alongside some valuation and competitive caution that has led to mixed price target revisions.Narrative Update • Mar 02
IOT: AI Safety Tools And Cautious Sector Sentiment Will Shape Returns
Samsara's analyst fair value has shifted from $35.00 to $30.00 as analysts recalibrate price targets and growth assumptions in light of recent sector research and increased focus on which software names are viewed as clearer AI beneficiaries. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Samsara has leaned more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and emphasizing the need to reassess how clearly the company fits into the current AI narrative across software.Narrative Update • Feb 16
IOT: Higher Revenue Guidance And AI Safety Tools Will Support Upside
The analyst price target for Samsara has shifted from $39 to $35, as analysts balance updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E with recent mixed Street research that includes both lowered targets and a fresh bullish initiation. Analyst Commentary The recent shift in the consensus price target to $35 sits against a backdrop of mixed Street commentary, with several bearish analysts trimming their targets while one major firm has started coverage with a bullish stance.Narrative Update • Feb 02
IOT: Future Returns Will Reflect Expanding Safety And Compliance Outcomes In Fleet Operations
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Samsara to about $48.93, citing updated assumptions around modestly lower profit margin expectations, a slightly adjusted discount rate, and a very large future P/E multiple in their models. What's in the News Samsara highlighted growing use of its platform across the Food and Beverage industry, with customers using Fleet Telematics, AI Dash Cams, Asset Tracking, and Workflows to support safety, cold chain compliance, operational efficiency, and driver retention.Narrative Update • Jan 19
IOT: Higher Revenue Guidance And New Safety Tools Will Support Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Samsara up from US$38.00 to US$39.00, tying this shift to small tweaks in the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Samsara issued earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, with expected total revenue of US$421 million to US$423 million and year on year revenue growth of 22% (Corporate guidance).Analysis Article • Jan 10
Samsara Inc.'s (NYSE:IOT) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25%
Samsara Inc. ( NYSE:IOT ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...Narrative Update • Jan 05
IOT: Future Returns Will Reflect Expanding Connected Fleet Safety And Compliance Adoption
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Samsara at approximately US$50.36 per share, making only minor adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and long-term P/E assumptions. This reflects fine-tuning of their models rather than a significant change in outlook.Narrative Update • Dec 20
IOT: Future Returns Will Reflect Expanding Connected Operations Platform Adoption
Analysts have nudged their price target for Samsara higher to approximately $50.36 from about $49.72, citing slightly lower perceived risk and more favorable long term valuation assumptions, despite moderating growth and margin expectations. What's in the News Samsara issued fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2026 guidance, targeting revenue of $421 million to $423 million for Q4 (22 percent year over year growth) and $1.595 billion to $1.597 billion for the year (28 percent year over year growth) (company guidance).Narrative Update • Dec 06
IOT: Future Returns Will Balance ARR Momentum And Rising Competition Risk
Analysts have nudged their price target on Samsara higher by about $1.50 to roughly $49.70, citing faster net new ARR growth, offset by rising competitive risks following a recent patent ruling. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests that sentiment on Samsara is balanced, with higher upside scenarios tied to sustained acceleration in net new ARR and downside risk linked to intensifying competition in AI driven fleet and operations software.Narrative Update • Sep 19
AI-Driven Telematics Will Transform Under-Penetrated Commercial Vehicle Markets
Samsara's price target was revised upward as bullish analysts cited strong Net New ARR momentum, improved enterprise traction, robust recurring revenue growth, and expanding margins, while bears pointed to rising competition and macro risks; as a result, the consensus fair value increased slightly from $47.45 to $48.20. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight strong acceleration in Net New ARR, notably outperforming expectations with improved momentum in large enterprise accounts and resulting upward revision of revenue and free cash flow guidance.Narrative Update • Sep 04
AI-Driven Telematics Will Transform Under-Penetrated Commercial Vehicle Markets
Despite ongoing digitization and innovation supporting Samsara’s long-term outlook, near-term headwinds from elongated deal cycles and macroeconomic uncertainty, along with concentrated exposure to GDP-sensitive sectors, have led analysts to maintain the consensus price target unchanged at $47.45. Analyst Commentary Ongoing digitization of physical operations and a strong pace of innovation are seen as long-term growth drivers, but near-term demand is impacted by elongating deal cycles and macroeconomic uncertainty.Seeking Alpha • Apr 22
Samsara's AI Brain Is Its Real Moat For Future Growth
Summary Samsara's unique AI and data platform, combined with advanced IoT devices, provides significant competitive advantages and operational efficiency for customers in physical operations sectors. . The company demonstrated strong fiscal 2025 results with 32% ARR growth, 25% revenue growth, and improved margins, indicating a healthy and profitable business model. . Despite trading at high multiples, Samsara's robust growth, competitive moat, and large market potential justify its valuation and support a target price of $50. . Key risks include high stock multiples, competitive pressures, growth sustainability, supply chain dependencies, and potential security breaches, but the competitive advantage outweighs these risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Mar 19
AI-Driven Telematics Will Transform Under-Penetrated Commercial Vehicle Markets
Strong growth in recurring revenue and large enterprise customer acquisition signals future expansion opportunities and increased market share.Seeking Alpha • Mar 14
Samsara: From Explosive Growth To Growing Pains
Summary Samsara excels in AI-powered IoT solutions for fleet management, showing strong revenue growth, high ARR, and expanding gross margins. The firm’s FCF margin expanded significantly in Q4, but high SBC expenses and a lack of GAAP profitability raise concerns about efficient capital use and valuation. Key risks include potential revenue growth slowdown and challenges in upselling to existing customers, which could impact future ARR and net revenue retention. Despite strong financials and market position, Samsara's high valuation and growth uncertainties lead to a hold rating until GAAP profitability and SBC discipline improve. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Samsara makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May 26 | 1,731 | 58 | 973 | 359 |
| 31 Jan 26 | 1,619 | -9 | 950 | 345 |
| 01 Nov 25 | 1,521 | -42 | 920 | 328 |
| 02 Aug 25 | 1,427 | -88 | 898 | 319 |
| 03 May 25 | 1,335 | -121 | 865 | 310 |
| 01 Feb 25 | 1,249 | -155 | 836 | 300 |
| 02 Nov 24 | 1,179 | -257 | 815 | 300 |
| 03 Aug 24 | 1,095 | -265 | 767 | 284 |
| 04 May 24 | 1,014 | -275 | 725 | 271 |
| 03 Feb 24 | 937 | -287 | 682 | 259 |
| 28 Oct 23 | 848 | -227 | 634 | 240 |
| 29 Jul 23 | 780 | -240 | 605 | 229 |
| 29 Apr 23 | 714 | -244 | 572 | 207 |
| 28 Jan 23 | 653 | -247 | 541 | 187 |
| 29 Oct 22 | 592 | -447 | 613 | 259 |
| 30 Jul 22 | 536 | -420 | 560 | 239 |
| 30 Apr 22 | 483 | -388 | 505 | 223 |
| 29 Jan 22 | 428 | -355 | 451 | 205 |
| 30 Oct 21 | 379 | -138 | 309 | 99 |
| 30 Jan 21 | 250 | -220 | 277 | 100 |
| 01 Feb 20 | 120 | -225 | 229 | 70 |
Quality Earnings: IOT has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: IOT became profitable in the past.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: IOT has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 33.7% per year.
Accelerating Growth: IOT has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: IOT has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Software industry (14.3%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: IOT's Return on Equity (3.8%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/11 21:34 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/05/02 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Samsara Inc. is covered by 24 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Elisha Simonetti | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Nay Soe Naing | Berenberg |
| Daniel Jester | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |