Samsara Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Samsara has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 37.8%, while the Software industry saw earnings growing at 31.8% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 30% per year. Samsara's return on equity is 5.7%, and it has net margins of 4.9%.
Key information
37.85%
Earnings growth rate
48.12%
EPS growth rate
| Software Industry Growth | 17.33% |
| Revenue growth rate | 29.99% |
| Return on equity | 5.65% |
| Net Margin | 4.90% |
| Last Earnings Update | 01 Aug 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 04
Samsara: 6% Better, 60% Pricier
Summary Samsara remains a Hold after a ~72% rally, as recent gains are driven mainly by multiple expansion rather than step-change fundamentals. Operating margin inflection, durable ~30% revenue growth, and strong large-customer expansion justify a rerating, but valuations at ~12x forward sales are now full. Growth is moderating to ~26% for FY2027, with margin improvement slowing and FCF margins not visibly expanding further, limiting upside from current levels. AI product adoption and land-and-expand dynamics are positive, but not yet transformative; I would accumulate IOT near $35, not at current stretched multiples. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Sep 03
IOT: AI Use Cases And Fuel Efficiency Will Shape Future Returns
Samsara's analyst fair value estimate has moved from $33.04 to $38.00 as analysts point to solid ARR trends, expanding adoption of new SKUs, returns on the IoT platform, AI driven use cases, and traction with larger and international customers ahead of upcoming earnings updates. Analyst Commentary Street research on Samsara over recent months has become more mixed, even as many firms lift their fair value and price targets ahead of upcoming earnings.
Narrative Update • Aug 19
IOT: Future Returns Will Reflect AI Fleet Safety And Profitability Shifts
Samsara's analyst fair value estimate has edged up from $44.17 to $45.08 as analysts weigh mixed signals on growth and valuation, including higher price targets clustered around $38 to $50, a growing focus on AI-driven use cases, and some concern about app download trends and elevated expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research on Samsara points to a mix of optimism around product momentum and AI use cases, along with fresh caution on valuation, expectations, and some engagement metrics.
Narrative Update • Jul 24
IOT: AI Use Cases And Recurring Revenue Will Drive Future Upside
The analyst price target for Samsara has been trimmed slightly, with the model-based fair value estimate moving from $56.52 to $55.18 as analysts balance recent supportive research on AI-driven use cases and recurring revenue with a modestly lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Samsara has leaned constructive, with several bullish analysts highlighting AI use cases, recurring revenue and operational execution as key supports for the stock's valuation framework.
New Narrative • Jul 23
Samsara's Future PE Will Soar to 337.7x and the Future is Bright
I can tell you right now that drivers don't want to be spyed on 24/7. RisksO Are there any risks that your catalysts won't play out as expected?Narrative Update • Jul 08
IOT: AI Product Adoption And Recurring Revenue Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their Samsara target in this update, with fair value moving from $53.00 to about $56.52. This is supported by research that points to steady assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside recent price target increases into the low $40s after Q1 results and guidance.Narrative Update • Jun 24
IOT: AI Workflow Automation And ARR Strength Will Shape Future Returns
Samsara's analyst price target edges higher as fair value estimates move from about $32.57 to $33.04, with analysts pointing to recent Q1 results, raised guidance, and continued annualized recurring revenue and large customer momentum as key supports for their updated outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Samsara highlights a mix of optimism around execution and recurring revenue, alongside some restraint as analysts weigh valuation, margins, and the impact of investment spending.Narrative Update • Jun 10
IOT: Recurring Revenue And AI Demand Will Support Future Upside
Analysts modestly lowered the long term fair value estimate for Samsara to $53.00, while still raising near term price targets toward the low $40s, citing Q1 earnings strength, raised guidance, and solid annualized recurring revenue growth supported by broad customer momentum. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts recently lifted near term price targets for Samsara into the low US$40s, framing the Q1 report and guidance update as supportive of a higher valuation, even as long term fair value estimates eased slightly.Narrative Update • May 27
IOT: Recurring Revenue And AI Data Platform Will Support Future Upside
Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Samsara to $55.46 from $59.16, reflecting a moderation in revenue growth assumptions, higher margin expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple after a mix of higher and lower Street price targets clustered around strong recent results and recurring revenue trends. Analyst Commentary Street research around Samsara points to generally constructive sentiment, with several bullish analysts raising price targets after recent results and updated guidance.New Narrative • May 11
Samsara’s 30% ARR Growth Could Drive 70%+ Upside
Samsara is a pioneering IoT platform company focused on connecting data from physical operations such as transportation, construction, and logistics. In fiscal year 2026 (ending January 2026), Samsara’s annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $1.89 billion, growing 30% year-over-year.Narrative Update • Apr 28
IOT: Future Returns Will Reflect AI Safety Data In Connected Fleets
The analyst price target for Samsara has been refined modestly, reflecting a mix of recent target hikes and cuts that reference strong ARR growth, expanding relationships with larger customers, and views of the company as a potential AI beneficiary, while some firms reset expectations after earlier target reductions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Samsara reflects a generally constructive tone on growth and execution, with some pullbacks in price targets as valuation expectations reset.Narrative Update • Apr 14
IOT: AI Safety Workflow Automation Will Shape Future Returns
The updated analyst price target for Samsara moves to an implied fair value of $32.57 from $30.00, as analysts highlight stronger annualized recurring revenue trends, growing traction with larger enterprise customers, and what they view as a solid position to benefit from AI driven workflow automation across a broad customer base. Analyst Commentary Street research around Samsara reflects a mix of optimism on growth metrics and AI positioning alongside more cautious views on valuation and future execution.Narrative Update • Mar 30
IOT: Future Returns Will Reflect AI Safety Data Moat In Connected Fleets
Analysts made a modest upward revision to the Samsara price target to around $44, reflecting a mix of higher targets from several firms and lower targets from others. The underlying rationale centers on strong recurring revenue trends, large enterprise customer traction, and confidence in the durability of its software growth profile.Narrative Update • Mar 16
IOT: Future Returns Will Reflect AI Safety Data Moat In Fleet Operations
Analysts have adjusted the Samsara fair value estimate down from $48.93 to $44.17, reflecting a mix of higher and lower Street price targets as they weigh strong recurring revenue trends, large customer momentum, and AI-related opportunities against updated growth and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research around Samsara reflects a blend of optimism on growth execution and recurring revenue, alongside some valuation and competitive caution that has led to mixed price target revisions.Narrative Update • Mar 02
IOT: AI Safety Tools And Cautious Sector Sentiment Will Shape Returns
Samsara's analyst fair value has shifted from $35.00 to $30.00 as analysts recalibrate price targets and growth assumptions in light of recent sector research and increased focus on which software names are viewed as clearer AI beneficiaries. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Samsara has leaned more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and emphasizing the need to reassess how clearly the company fits into the current AI narrative across software.Narrative Update • Feb 16
IOT: Higher Revenue Guidance And AI Safety Tools Will Support Upside
The analyst price target for Samsara has shifted from $39 to $35, as analysts balance updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E with recent mixed Street research that includes both lowered targets and a fresh bullish initiation. Analyst Commentary The recent shift in the consensus price target to $35 sits against a backdrop of mixed Street commentary, with several bearish analysts trimming their targets while one major firm has started coverage with a bullish stance.Narrative Update • Feb 02
IOT: Future Returns Will Reflect Expanding Safety And Compliance Outcomes In Fleet Operations
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Samsara to about $48.93, citing updated assumptions around modestly lower profit margin expectations, a slightly adjusted discount rate, and a very large future P/E multiple in their models. What's in the News Samsara highlighted growing use of its platform across the Food and Beverage industry, with customers using Fleet Telematics, AI Dash Cams, Asset Tracking, and Workflows to support safety, cold chain compliance, operational efficiency, and driver retention.Narrative Update • Jan 19
IOT: Higher Revenue Guidance And New Safety Tools Will Support Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Samsara up from US$38.00 to US$39.00, tying this shift to small tweaks in the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Samsara issued earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, with expected total revenue of US$421 million to US$423 million and year on year revenue growth of 22% (Corporate guidance).Analysis Article • Jan 10
Samsara Inc.'s (NYSE:IOT) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25%
Samsara Inc. ( NYSE:IOT ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...Narrative Update • Jan 05
IOT: Future Returns Will Reflect Expanding Connected Fleet Safety And Compliance Adoption
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Samsara at approximately US$50.36 per share, making only minor adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and long-term P/E assumptions. This reflects fine-tuning of their models rather than a significant change in outlook.Narrative Update • Dec 20
IOT: Future Returns Will Reflect Expanding Connected Operations Platform Adoption
Analysts have nudged their price target for Samsara higher to approximately $50.36 from about $49.72, citing slightly lower perceived risk and more favorable long term valuation assumptions, despite moderating growth and margin expectations. What's in the News Samsara issued fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2026 guidance, targeting revenue of $421 million to $423 million for Q4 (22 percent year over year growth) and $1.595 billion to $1.597 billion for the year (28 percent year over year growth) (company guidance).Narrative Update • Dec 06
IOT: Future Returns Will Balance ARR Momentum And Rising Competition Risk
Analysts have nudged their price target on Samsara higher by about $1.50 to roughly $49.70, citing faster net new ARR growth, offset by rising competitive risks following a recent patent ruling. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests that sentiment on Samsara is balanced, with higher upside scenarios tied to sustained acceleration in net new ARR and downside risk linked to intensifying competition in AI driven fleet and operations software.Narrative Update • Sep 19
AI-Driven Telematics Will Transform Under-Penetrated Commercial Vehicle Markets
Samsara's price target was revised upward as bullish analysts cited strong Net New ARR momentum, improved enterprise traction, robust recurring revenue growth, and expanding margins, while bears pointed to rising competition and macro risks; as a result, the consensus fair value increased slightly from $47.45 to $48.20. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight strong acceleration in Net New ARR, notably outperforming expectations with improved momentum in large enterprise accounts and resulting upward revision of revenue and free cash flow guidance.Narrative Update • Sep 04
AI-Driven Telematics Will Transform Under-Penetrated Commercial Vehicle Markets
Despite ongoing digitization and innovation supporting Samsara’s long-term outlook, near-term headwinds from elongated deal cycles and macroeconomic uncertainty, along with concentrated exposure to GDP-sensitive sectors, have led analysts to maintain the consensus price target unchanged at $47.45. Analyst Commentary Ongoing digitization of physical operations and a strong pace of innovation are seen as long-term growth drivers, but near-term demand is impacted by elongating deal cycles and macroeconomic uncertainty.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Samsara makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug 26 | 1,848 | 91 | 1,016 | 376 |
| 02 May 26 | 1,731 | 58 | 973 | 359 |
| 31 Jan 26 | 1,619 | -9 | 950 | 345 |
| 01 Nov 25 | 1,521 | -42 | 920 | 328 |
| 02 Aug 25 | 1,427 | -88 | 898 | 319 |
| 03 May 25 | 1,335 | -121 | 865 | 310 |
| 01 Feb 25 | 1,249 | -155 | 836 | 300 |
| 02 Nov 24 | 1,179 | -257 | 815 | 300 |
| 03 Aug 24 | 1,095 | -265 | 767 | 284 |
| 04 May 24 | 1,014 | -275 | 725 | 271 |
| 03 Feb 24 | 937 | -287 | 682 | 259 |
| 28 Oct 23 | 848 | -227 | 634 | 240 |
| 29 Jul 23 | 780 | -240 | 605 | 229 |
| 29 Apr 23 | 714 | -244 | 572 | 207 |
| 28 Jan 23 | 653 | -247 | 541 | 187 |
| 29 Oct 22 | 592 | -447 | 613 | 259 |
| 30 Jul 22 | 536 | -420 | 560 | 239 |
| 30 Apr 22 | 483 | -388 | 505 | 223 |
| 29 Jan 22 | 428 | -355 | 451 | 205 |
| 30 Oct 21 | 379 | -138 | 309 | 99 |
| 30 Jan 21 | 250 | -220 | 277 | 100 |
| 01 Feb 20 | 120 | -225 | 229 | 70 |
Quality Earnings: IOT has a large one-off gain of $30.3M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 1st August, 2026.
Growing Profit Margin: IOT became profitable in the past.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: IOT has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 37.8% per year.
Accelerating Growth: IOT has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: IOT has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Software industry (27.2%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: IOT's Return on Equity (5.7%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/11 04:10 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/08/01 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Samsara Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 24 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Elisha Simonetti | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Nay Soe Naing | Berenberg |
| Daniel Jester | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |