Fair Isaac Corporation

NYSE:FICO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$25.3b

Fair Isaac Management

Management criteria checks 3/4

Fair Isaac's CEO is Will Lansing, appointed in Jan 2012, has a tenure of 14.33 years. total yearly compensation is $36.05M, comprised of 2.1% salary and 97.9% bonuses, including company stock and options. directly owns 1.55% of the company’s shares, worth $393.62M. The average tenure of the management team and the board of directors is 10 years and 10.9 years respectively.

Key information

Will Lansing

Chief executive officer

US$36.0m

Total compensation

CEO salary percentage2.08%
CEO tenure14.3yrs
CEO ownership1.6%
Management average tenure10yrs
Board average tenure10.9yrs

Recent management updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 01

FICO: Cheaper Rival Credit Scores Will Pressure Future Mortgage Pricing Power

Analysts have reduced Fair Isaac's average price target by roughly $230 to about $890, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly lower revenue growth, slimmer profit margins and a more conservative future P/E multiple, despite mixed recent price target moves across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fair Isaac has tilted more cautious, with a series of price target cuts clustering over a relatively short period.
Analysis Article May 01

Results: Fair Isaac Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

A week ago, Fair Isaac Corporation ( NYSE:FICO ) came out with a strong set of second-quarter numbers that could...
Seeking Alpha Apr 23

VantageScore 4.0 And AI Fundamentally Threaten Fair Isaac

Summary Fair Isaac faces existential threats from VantageScore 4.0 and AI, undermining its historic moat and pricing power. VantageScore 4.0, backed by major credit bureaus, offers dramatically lower pricing and could displace FICO in the mortgage ecosystem. AI-driven reductions in switching costs threaten both FICO’s scoring and software businesses, eroding barriers to competitor adoption. I assign a Sell rating: valuation is unsustainable given margin compression, slowing EPS growth, and risky debt-funded buybacks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 15

FICO: Competitive Mortgage Pricing Shifts Are Expected To Create Future Upside Opportunity

Analysts have reduced their implied price target on Fair Isaac from about $1,971 to roughly $1,728. This reflects updated views on competitive pressure from lower priced VantageScore offerings, modest adjustments to long term profit expectations, and slightly lower assumed future P/E multiples.
Narrative Update Apr 01

FICO: Mortgage License Push Will Face Cheaper Score Rivals And Buyback Support

Analysts have reduced Fair Isaac's implied value from about $1,490 to roughly $1,120 per share. This reflects lower Street price targets in response to new competitive pressure from low-priced VantageScore offerings and recent research caution on FICO's mortgage and pricing outlook.
New Narrative Mar 19

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO): A Tale of Two Segments Amid a Market Correction

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) has long been the "gold standard" of the credit world, but the narrative on March 19, 2026, is one of intense volatility. The stock closed the session at $1,114.27 USD , enduring a sharp 7.43% decline in a single day.
Narrative Update Mar 18

FICO: Capital Returns Will Offset Mortgage Pricing Pressure Over Time

Analyst price targets for Fair Isaac have been revised lower, with several firms cutting targets in a range from about $2,500 to $1,350 as they weigh potential competitive pressure from lower priced VantageScore offerings, differing views on regulatory risk, and the impact of the company's recent $1b debt raise on shareholder returns. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Fair Isaac highlights a split tape of opinion, with some firms cutting price targets while others point to potential upside drivers around capital returns, competitive positioning, and long term growth in information and business services.
Narrative Update Mar 04

FICO: Regulatory Overhang Is Expected To Create Future Upside Opportunity

Our updated analyst price target for Fair Isaac shifts to $1,971 from $2,023, reflecting refreshed views on revenue growth, profitability, and future P/E assumptions that have been influenced by recent Street research taking a generally constructive stance on the broader information and business services group. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fair Isaac clusters around valuation reset, regulatory watchpoints, and how the company can execute against growth expectations implied by current multiples.
Narrative Update Feb 17

FICO: Mortgage Competition Will Reinforce Core Credit Scoring Franchise

Analysts have modestly fine tuned their Fair Isaac price targets, incorporating updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples into a refreshed model that reflects recent Street research on the name. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are highlighting Fair Isaac as a key name within the broader Information and Business Services group, with fresh coverage and revised targets reflecting confidence in the company’s ability to execute on its business model.
Narrative Update Feb 03

FICO: Mortgage Scoring Review Will Reinforce Core Franchise Strength

Analysts kept their Fair Isaac fair value estimate steady at $2,500.00, but modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate and future P/E inputs reflect mixed recent research. Some firms raised price targets on optimism around FICO 10T and long term adoption, while others trimmed targets following a softer software quarter and more cautious management guidance.
Narrative Update Jan 20

FICO: Core Credit Franchise Will Withstand New Mortgage Scoring Competition

Analysts have adjusted the Fair Isaac price target to about US$2,500, reflecting updated assumptions for faster revenue growth, stronger profit margins, a higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple, supported by recent research that highlights both the potential benefit of FICO 10T and mixed reactions to the company’s fiscal 2026 outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fair Isaac highlights a mix of optimism on the core franchise and caution around the fiscal 2026 outlook.
Narrative Update Jan 06

FICO: Mortgage Credit Score Changes Will Support Future Share Gains

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Fair Isaac by about US$8.60 to reflect slightly lower revenue growth assumptions and a modestly higher discount rate, while still highlighting FICO 10T and ongoing credit score adoption as key supports for the updated price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fair Isaac presents a mixed picture, with several firms highlighting growth drivers tied to FICO 10T and long term revenue potential, while others flag valuation and regulatory risks that could limit upside from current levels.
Narrative Update Dec 15

FICO: Rising Mortgage License Ambitions Will Likely Struggle Against Intensifying Score Competition

Analysts have nudged our Fair Isaac fair value estimate higher from $1,364 to about $1,490. This reflects slightly faster expected revenue growth, modestly lower future valuation multiples, and the view that initiatives like FICO 10T and the mortgage direct license program will reinforce the company’s dominant, high margin scoring franchise despite near term guidance uncertainty.
Narrative Update Nov 30

FICO: Upcoming Mortgage Program Will Strengthen Share Amid Credit Score Shakeup

Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Fair Isaac to $2,031.78, citing recent updates in price targets and improved outlooks based on stronger revenue growth, profit margin expansion, and continued positive sentiment around the company's new products and fiscal performance. Analyst Commentary Analysts have recently weighed in on Fair Isaac's outlook, highlighting both promising growth factors and areas warranting caution.
Narrative Update Nov 16

FICO: Recent License Program Will Drive Incremental Revenue Growth Opportunities

Fair Isaac's analyst price target has seen a modest decrease, as updated guidance and a slightly lower projected profit margin have led analysts to trim fair value estimates by less than $1 to $2,016. This adjustment is due to more conservative forecasts and ongoing uncertainty in the mortgage sector.
Narrative Update Oct 31

FICO: New Mortgage Direct License Program Will Drive Market Leadership

Analysts have raised their price target for Fair Isaac to $2,400 from $2,000. They cited stronger-than-expected revenue growth and optimism about the company’s new mortgage direct license program.
Narrative Update Oct 17

Global Cloud Migration And International Partnerships Will Transform Financial Services

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Fair Isaac from $1,913 to $2,017, citing stronger revenue growth and improved profit outlook following recent updates to the company’s business model. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage of Fair Isaac has produced a mix of bullish and bearish views, as analysts assess the impact of the company's updated business model and Mortgage Direct License Program on its growth trajectory and competitive positioning.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Global Cloud Migration And International Partnerships Will Transform Financial Services

Fair Isaac's analyst price target has risen from $1,874.70 to $1,913.47. This change reflects improved views on its mortgage licensing business, sustained market leadership, and incremental increases to revenue growth and profit margin expectations, according to analysts.
Narrative Update Sep 02

Global Cloud Migration And International Partnerships Will Transform Financial Services

The consensus price target for Fair Isaac decreased to $1,872 as analysts weighed increased regulatory uncertainty and competitive threats from the FHFA’s move to include VantageScore 4.0, though resilient EPS estimates and a robust business model remain supportive of fair value. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts lowered price targets due to the Federal Housing Finance Agency's decision to allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to use VantageScore 4.0, raising concerns about increased competition and potential erosion of FICO's monopoly.
Analysis Article Aug 02

Fair Isaac Corporation's (NYSE:FICO) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 25% Slump

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Fair Isaac Corporation ( NYSE:FICO ) shares are down a considerable 25% in the...
Analysis Article Aug 01

Fair Isaac Corporation Just Beat EPS By 14%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Fair Isaac Corporation ( NYSE:FICO ) just released its third-quarter report and things are looking bullish. It was...
Analysis Article May 21

Fair Isaac's Pricing Woes: A New Investment Thesis Awaits

FICO shares dropped 8.11% following concerns over credit scorer's pricing by a federal housing official, snapping a winning streak. Despite analyst consensus optimism, FICO's significant price decline prompts a reassessment of its established investment narrative.
Seeking Alpha Apr 21

Fair Isaac Corporation: Shares Deserve To Fall Like My Credit Score Does

Summary Fair Isaac Corporation is a high-quality, global analytics firm with impressive revenue and profit growth, but its stock is currently overvalued. Despite strong financials and minimal debt, FICO's shares are expensive relative to similar companies and their historical valuations. Management's ongoing stock buybacks are suboptimal at current high valuations; capital should be allocated toward growth opportunities instead. Analysts expect continued revenue and profit growth, but I recommend a 'sell' rating due to the stock's lofty valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 18

Fair Isaac: Score Prices Shall Keep Rising

Summary Fair Isaac keeps executing its price increase strategy and still has room for further increases in the scores segment. Volume growth in mortgage originations (110% YoY), on top of the increase in prices, should boost its free cash flow in FY2025. The growth rate has decreased in the software segment, but management expects it to accelerate in the coming quarters. A change in regulation is unlikely over the next years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 06

Fair Isaac: Valuation Has Come Down, But It Is Still Expensive

Summary I reiterate my hold rating for Fair Isaac due to its high valuation multiple and potential for further derating if growth slows in 2Q25. FICO’s Scores segment shows strong growth with a 110% y/y increase in mortgage scores revenue, driven by significant pricing power and volume demand. Despite concerns in the software segment, FICO’s strong free cash flow and underpenetrated TAM offer long-term growth potential. Valuation remains the biggest issue, with FICO trading at >50x forward earnings, leaving no margin for error if growth decelerates. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

CEO Compensation Analysis

How has Will Lansing's remuneration changed compared to Fair Isaac's earnings?
DateTotal CompensationSalaryCompany Earnings
Mar 31 2026n/an/a

US$760m

Dec 31 2025n/an/a

US$658m

Sep 30 2025US$36mUS$750k

US$652m

Jun 30 2025n/an/a

US$633m

Mar 31 2025n/an/a

US$577m

Dec 31 2024n/an/a

US$544m

Sep 30 2024US$36mUS$750k

US$513m

Jun 30 2024n/an/a

US$479m

Mar 31 2024n/an/a

US$481m

Dec 31 2023n/an/a

US$453m

Sep 30 2023US$66mUS$750k

US$429m

Jun 30 2023n/an/a

US$419m

Mar 31 2023n/an/a

US$383m

Dec 31 2022n/an/a

US$386m

Sep 30 2022US$19mUS$750k

US$374m

Jun 30 2022n/an/a

US$369m

Mar 31 2022n/an/a

US$426m

Dec 31 2021n/an/a

US$391m

Sep 30 2021US$19mUS$750k

US$392m

Jun 30 2021n/an/a

US$365m

Mar 31 2021n/an/a

US$278m

Dec 31 2020n/an/a

US$268m

Sep 30 2020US$14mUS$750k

US$236m

Jun 30 2020n/an/a

US$232m

Mar 31 2020n/an/a

US$232m

Dec 31 2019n/an/a

US$207m

Sep 30 2019US$11mUS$750k

US$192m

Compensation vs Market: Will's total compensation ($USD36.05M) is above average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD14.80M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Will's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


CEO

Will Lansing (67 yo)

14.3yrs
Tenure
US$36,045,267
Compensation

Mr. William J. Lansing, also known as Will, J.D., has been the Chief Executive Officer of Fair Isaac Corporation since January 27, 2012 and serves as its President. Mr. Lansing serves as an Advisor at i-Ha...


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
William Lansing
President14.3yrsUS$36.05m1.55%
$ 393.6m
Steven Weber
Executive VP & CFO3.3yrsUS$6.96m0.011%
$ 2.8m
Mark Scadina
Executive VP18.9yrsUS$7.14m0.48%
$ 122.4m
Richard Deal
Executive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer25.3yrsUS$6.96m0.24%
$ 61.6m
Nikhil Behl
President of Software1.8yrsUS$7.73m0.067%
$ 16.9m
Michael Leonard
VP & Chief Accounting Officer14.5yrsno data0.027%
$ 6.8m
Amir Hermelin
VP & CTO4.3yrsno datano data
Dave Singleton
Vice President of Investor Relationsno datano datano data
John Chen
Managing Director of China Operations14.3yrsno datano data
Thomas Bowers
Executive Vice President of Corporate Strategy5.8yrsno data0.052%
$ 13.3m
Ben Nelson
Chief Information Security Officer5yrsno datano data
Thomas Colling
Treasurerno datano datano data
10.0yrs
Average Tenure
59yo
Average Age

Experienced Management: FICO's management team is seasoned and experienced (10 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
William Lansing
President20.3yrsUS$36.05m1.55%
$ 393.6m
Joanna Rees-Gallanter
Independent Director11.3yrsUS$416.91k0.048%
$ 12.2m
Marc McMorris
Independent Director10.6yrsUS$362.57k0.0014%
$ 349.5k
Braden Kelly
Independent Chairman of the Board13.3yrsUS$520.29k0.047%
$ 11.9m
H. Stansbury
Independent Director2.8yrsUS$362.57k0.0011%
$ 283.6k
Fabiola Arredondo
Independent Director6.2yrsUS$363.44k0.0090%
$ 2.3m
Eva Manolis
Independent Director8.1yrsUS$363.44k0.0022%
$ 544.5k
David Rey
Independent Director14.6yrsUS$419.41k0.022%
$ 5.5m
10.9yrs
Average Tenure
62yo
Average Age

Experienced Board: FICO's board of directors are seasoned and experienced ( 10.9 years average tenure).


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/12 22:16
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/12 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Fair Isaac Corporation is covered by 34 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jeffrey MeulerBaird
Manav PatnaikBarclays
Jeffrey SilberBMO Capital Markets Equity Research