Further Upside For TSS, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSSI) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 100% Bounce

TSS, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSSI) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 100% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 1,210% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about TSS' P/S ratio of 3.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the IT industry in the United States is also close to 2.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

This technology could replace computers: discover the 20 stocks are working to make quantum computing a reality.

View our latest analysis for TSS

How Has TSS Performed Recently?

TSS certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on TSS' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is TSS' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, TSS would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that TSS is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From TSS' P/S?

TSS appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We didn't quite envision TSS' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Having said that, be aware TSS is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.