Smith Micro Software (NASDAQ:SMSI) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Smith Micro Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMSI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Advertisement

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Smith Micro Software

What Is Smith Micro Software's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Smith Micro Software had debt of US$7.06m, up from none in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$6.42m, its net debt is less, at about US$645.0k.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:SMSI Debt to Equity History October 14th 2023

A Look At Smith Micro Software's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Smith Micro Software had liabilities of US$16.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$3.57m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$6.42m and US$11.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.89m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Smith Micro Software shares are worth a total of US$73.4m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. But either way, Smith Micro Software has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Smith Micro Software's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Smith Micro Software had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 22%, to US$44m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Smith Micro Software's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$26m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$15m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Smith Micro Software has 4 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

mitchell_lawler

Micron (MU) is booming, and it still doesn't look ‘expensive’ based on next year's earnings. So why does our own valuation say it could be worth 40% less?

1710
zoe_vi5fn

A low price to earnings ratio at the top of the cycle is a warning rather than a bargain, and a terrifyingly high one at the bottom is often the entry point

darius_xnnrd

Memory used to have a dozen participants racing each other into oversupply, and now it has three. High bandwidth memory is qualified into customer designs years ahead, sold under long-term agreements, and is far harder to switch away from than commodity DRAM.

About NasdaqCM:SMSI

Smith Micro Software

Develops and sells software solutions to simplify and enhance the mobile experience to wireless and cable service providers in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

Undervalued with moderate risk.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

RI
Rick_Orford
FJET logo
Rick_Orford on Starfighters Space ·

The 1960s Fighter Jet That Could Crack Open a $20 Billion Satellite Market

Fair Value:US$515.2% undervalued
31 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
5 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentalFlow
VRT logo
FundamentalFlow on Vertiv Holdings Co ·

The Short and Long Term Compounder of Liquid Cooling industry.

Fair Value:US$45034.7% undervalued
59 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
13 users have liked this narrative
JO
John_Eric
SPXC logo
John_Eric on SPX Technologies ·

I Fell in Love With a Data-Center Cooling Stock. Then I Opened the Filings.

Fair Value:US$2037.1% overvalued
23 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
7 users have liked this narrative
TR
tripledub
GQG logo
tripledub on GQG Partners ·

The Cheap Genius Problem

Fair Value:AU$3.2155.0% undervalued
34 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

RI
NVO logo
ricksilva20 on Novo Nordisk ·

Fair Price 80$ eventually 100$ depending on the market share futuro

Fair Value:US$76.6340.1% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
IV
META logo
Ivoed on Meta Platforms ·

Meta’s Valuation Still Works, But Only If Free Cash Flow Recovers

Fair Value:US$752.0721.6% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
IV
TRIO logo
Ivoed on Triodos Bank ·

Triodos Bank: The Market Still Looks Stuck On The Trading Saga, But The Valuation Case Is Starting To Shift

Fair Value:€5534.4% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

OS
oscargarcia
NVDA logo
oscargarcia on NVIDIA ·

The company that went from selling GPUs to gamers to becoming the AI arms dealer of the 21st century.

Fair Value:US$28019.6% undervalued
311 users have followed this narrative
9 users have commented on this narrative
16 users have liked this narrative
CU
MSFT logo
CubanEros on Microsoft ·

A wonderful business at reasonable price.

Fair Value:US$419.9118.0% overvalued
169 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative
KI
AMZN logo
KiwiInvest on Amazon.com ·

Amazon's high growth, high tech segments propel its profits, while traditional segments plod along

Fair Value:US$475.0944.7% undervalued
191 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative