Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Jumping Onto Rekor Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:REKR) Even Though It's 25% Cheaper

NasdaqCM:REKR
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Rekor Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:REKR) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 61% share price decline.

After such a large drop in price, Rekor Systems may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.7x and even P/S higher than 11x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Rekor Systems

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:REKR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 26th 2024

How Rekor Systems Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Rekor Systems as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Rekor Systems' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Rekor Systems?

Rekor Systems' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 51% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 215% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 63% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 24%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that Rekor Systems is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Rekor Systems' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Rekor Systems' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Rekor Systems (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.