Stock Analysis

What Is Okta, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OKTA) Share Price Doing?

NasdaqGS:OKTA
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Let's talk about the popular Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA). The company's shares saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Okta’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Okta

What Is Okta Worth?

The stock is currently trading at US$74.30 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 25% compared to my intrinsic value of $59.47. This means that the opportunity to buy Okta at a good price has disappeared! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since Okta’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Okta look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:OKTA Earnings and Revenue Growth April 15th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Okta's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 50%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in OKTA’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe OKTA should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on OKTA for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for OKTA, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example - Okta has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.