Stock Analysis

MicroStrategy (MSTR) Is Up 7.7% After Crypto Tax Relief Eases Balance Sheet Risk – What's Changed

  • The U.S. Treasury and IRS issued interim guidance allowing large C Corporations like Strategy (MSTR) to exclude unrealized cryptocurrency gains when calculating liability under the 15% corporate alternative minimum tax.
  • This decision removes a significant financial overhang for firms with substantial digital asset holdings, reducing the risk of forced asset sales to cover potential tax bills and providing more stability for such companies' corporate treasury approaches.
  • We'll explore how this relief from unrealized crypto tax exposure shapes Strategy's investment narrative by mitigating a major balance sheet risk.

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What Is Strategy's Investment Narrative?

For those considering Strategy Inc., the investment story has always required conviction in the enduring relevance of both Bitcoin and the company's aggressive treasury allocation approach. The recent IRS and Treasury guidance exempting unrealized crypto gains from the 15% corporate alternative minimum tax is a gamechanger, directly addressing what was arguably the most significant near-term financial risk to Strategy: the possibility of massive tax liability forcing the sale of digital assets. This decision appears to reset the short-term risk profile, potentially shifting attention to execution of its core business model, preferred stock dividend sustainability, and legal matters such as the ongoing class action lawsuit. Share price momentum has started to return, but it’s this reduction in balance sheet uncertainty that stands out as the key near-term catalyst, while raising new questions about what comes next for corporate Bitcoin strategies as regulations continue to evolve.

But while tax risk has faded, legal challenges may not be so easily resolved. Our valuation report here indicates Strategy may be undervalued.

Exploring Other Perspectives

MSTR Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
MSTR Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
Seventeen members of the Simply Wall St Community have estimated Strategy’s fair value, spanning US$53 to US$670 per share. Such a vast range reflects the fundamental debate around drivers like crypto-related policy shifts, especially in light of the company's materially reduced tax risk. Explore the diverse community views to see how others are weighing these uncertainties.

Explore 17 other fair value estimates on Strategy - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

Build Your Own Strategy Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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