Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving WM Technology, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MAPS) 38% Price Drop

NasdaqGS:MAPS
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the WM Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAPS) share price has dived 38% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 90% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, WM Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 15x and even P/E's above 28x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, WM Technology's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for WM Technology

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NasdaqGS:MAPS Price Based on Past Earnings November 9th 2022
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on WM Technology.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like WM Technology's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 34%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 25% per year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 9.4% per annum.

In light of this, it's understandable that WM Technology's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Final Word

Shares in WM Technology have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of WM Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for WM Technology (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether WM Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.