Stock Analysis

LivePerson, Inc. (NASDAQ:LPSN) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 52%

NasdaqGS:LPSN
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, LivePerson, Inc. (NASDAQ:LPSN) shares are down a considerable 52% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 89% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, LivePerson may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.3x and even P/S higher than 11x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for LivePerson

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LPSN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 26th 2024

What Does LivePerson's Recent Performance Look Like?

LivePerson could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think LivePerson's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like LivePerson's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 22%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 9.6% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 23% as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 15%.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that LivePerson's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What Does LivePerson's P/S Mean For Investors?

LivePerson's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of LivePerson's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, LivePerson's poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for LivePerson you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether LivePerson is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.