Stock Analysis

Aurora Mobile (NASDAQ:JG shareholders incur further losses as stock declines 10% this week, taking three-year losses to 75%

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NasdaqGM:JG
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It's not possible to invest over long periods without making some bad investments. But you want to avoid the really big losses like the plague. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Aurora Mobile Limited (NASDAQ:JG); the share price is down a whopping 75% in the last three years. That might cause some serious doubts about the merits of the initial decision to buy the stock, to put it mildly. And over the last year the share price fell 26%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 31% in the last three months. This could be related to the recent financial results - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.

After losing 10% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

See our latest analysis for Aurora Mobile

Aurora Mobile wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

In the last three years Aurora Mobile saw its revenue shrink by 35% per year. That means its revenue trend is very weak compared to other loss making companies. And as you might expect the share price has been weak too, dropping at a rate of 21% per year. Never forget that loss making companies with falling revenue can and do cause losses for everyday investors. It's worth remembering that investors call buying a steeply falling share price 'catching a falling knife' because it is a dangerous pass time.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGM:JG Earnings and Revenue Growth March 14th 2023

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

A Different Perspective

Aurora Mobile shareholders are down 26% for the year, falling short of the market return. Meanwhile, the broader market slid about 7.3%, likely weighing on the stock. Unfortunately, the longer term story isn't pretty, with investment losses running at 21% per year over three years. We'd need clear signs of growth in the underlying business before we could muster much enthusiasm for this one. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Aurora Mobile , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

But note: Aurora Mobile may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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