Stock Analysis

Is GSE Systems (NASDAQ:GVP) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

NasdaqCM:GVP
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, GSE Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:GVP) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for GSE Systems

How Much Debt Does GSE Systems Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that GSE Systems had debt of US$2.39m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from US$3.94m over a year. However, it also had US$2.04m in cash, and so its net debt is US$346.0k.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:GVP Debt to Equity History February 15th 2024

How Strong Is GSE Systems' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, GSE Systems had liabilities of US$16.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.43m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$2.04m in cash and US$10.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$4.73m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$5.75m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on GSE Systems' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if GSE Systems can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, GSE Systems made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$46m, which is a fall of 10%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did GSE Systems's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$5.5m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$268k of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for GSE Systems (3 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether GSE Systems is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.