Stock Analysis

Is Fortinet (NASDAQ:FTNT) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGS:FTNT
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Fortinet, Inc. (NASDAQ:FTNT) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Fortinet

How Much Debt Does Fortinet Carry?

As you can see below, Fortinet had US$993.3m of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But on the other hand it also has US$3.34b in cash, leading to a US$2.35b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:FTNT Debt to Equity History August 22nd 2024

How Healthy Is Fortinet's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Fortinet had liabilities of US$3.73b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$4.04b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$3.34b in cash and US$1.08b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$3.34b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Fortinet has a titanic market capitalization of US$57.7b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Fortinet boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Also positive, Fortinet grew its EBIT by 23% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Fortinet can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Fortinet has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Fortinet actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Fortinet has US$2.35b in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 139% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$1.6b. So is Fortinet's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Fortinet's earnings per share history for free.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.