Stock Analysis

What You Can Learn From JFrog Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:FROG) P/S

NasdaqGS:FROG
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10.7x JFrog Ltd. (NASDAQ:FROG) is a stock to avoid completely, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.4x and even P/S lower than 1.8x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for JFrog

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:FROG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2024

What Does JFrog's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

JFrog certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on JFrog.

How Is JFrog's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, JFrog would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 25% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 137% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 23% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 17% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that JFrog's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of JFrog's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for JFrog that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of JFrog's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.