Stock Analysis

Strong week for Five9 (NASDAQ:FIVN) shareholders doesn't alleviate pain of three-year loss

Every investor on earth makes bad calls sometimes. But you want to avoid the really big losses like the plague. So consider, for a moment, the misfortune of Five9, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVN) investors who have held the stock for three years as it declined a whopping 78%. That would certainly shake our confidence in the decision to own the stock. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 47% in a year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 29% in the last three months.

While the last three years has been tough for Five9 shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

See our latest analysis for Five9

Given that Five9 didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over three years, Five9 grew revenue at 21% per year. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. So on the face of it we're really surprised to see the share price down 21% a year in the same time period. You'd want to take a close look at the balance sheet, as well as the losses. Sometimes fast revenue growth doesn't lead to profits. Unless the balance sheet is strong, the company might have to raise capital.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGM:FIVN Earnings and Revenue Growth July 3rd 2024

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

A Different Perspective

Investors in Five9 had a tough year, with a total loss of 47%, against a market gain of about 24%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Five9 better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Five9 has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

Mobile Infrastructure for Defense and Disaster

The next wave in robotics isn't humanoid. Its fully autonomous towers delivering 5G, ISR, and radar in under 30 minutes, anywhere.

Get the investor briefing before the next round of contracts

Sponsored On Behalf of CiTech

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGM:FIVN

Five9

Provides intelligent cloud software for contact centers in the United States and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.

Weekly Picks

AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25334.0% overvalued
40 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
14 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.5% undervalued
46 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
15 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentallySarcastic
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6412.1% overvalued
7 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

YI
ABNB logo
yiannisz on Airbnb ·

Airbnb Stock: Platform Growth in a World of Saturation and Scrutiny

Fair Value:US$159.715.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
ADBE logo
yiannisz on Adobe ·

Adobe Stock: AI-Fueled ARR Growth Pushes Guidance Higher, But Cost Pressures Loom

Fair Value:US$391.259.0% undervalued
7 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
2 users have liked this narrative
YI
TRI logo
yiannisz on Thomson Reuters ·

Thomson Reuters Stock: When Legal Intelligence Becomes Mission-Critical Infrastructure

Fair Value:CA$201.979.9% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8686.4% undervalued
82 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3927.7% undervalued
978 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
26 users have liked this narrative
RO
RobertoAllende
NVDA logo
RobertoAllende on NVIDIA ·

The AI Infrastructure Giant Grows Into Its Valuation

Fair Value:US$345.0747.5% undervalued
43 users have followed this narrative
28 users have commented on this narrative
24 users have liked this narrative