Stock Analysis

EverCommerce Inc. (NASDAQ:EVCM) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 28%

NasdaqGS:EVCM
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EverCommerce Inc. (NASDAQ:EVCM) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 60%.

Even after such a large jump in price, EverCommerce may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.9x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.4x and even P/S higher than 11x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for EverCommerce

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:EVCM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 10th 2023

What Does EverCommerce's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

There hasn't been much to differentiate EverCommerce's and the industry's revenue growth lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this modest revenue performance may begin to slide. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on EverCommerce will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is EverCommerce's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like EverCommerce's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 98% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 7.8% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 15% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why EverCommerce's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does EverCommerce's P/S Mean For Investors?

Despite EverCommerce's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As expected, our analysis of EverCommerce's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for EverCommerce with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if EverCommerce might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.