Stock Analysis

Will Digimarc (NASDAQ:DMRC) Spend Its Cash Wisely?

NasdaqGS:DMRC
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. Indeed, Digimarc (NASDAQ:DMRC) stock is up 107% in the last year, providing strong gains for shareholders. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

Given its strong share price performance, we think it's worthwhile for Digimarc shareholders to consider whether its cash burn is concerning. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

See our latest analysis for Digimarc

SWOT Analysis for Digimarc

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Expensive based on P/S ratio compared to estimated Fair P/S ratio.
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • Forecast to reduce losses next year.
Threat
  • Has less than 3 years of cash runway based on current free cash flow.

Does Digimarc Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Digimarc last reported its balance sheet in March 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth US$43m. Importantly, its cash burn was US$42m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from March 2023 it had roughly 12 months of cash runway. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:DMRC Debt to Equity History July 3rd 2023

How Well Is Digimarc Growing?

Some investors might find it troubling that Digimarc is actually increasing its cash burn, which is up 26% in the last year. The revenue growth of 12% gives a ray of hope, at the very least. In light of the data above, we're fairly sanguine about the business growth trajectory. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Hard Would It Be For Digimarc To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Even though it seems like Digimarc is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Digimarc has a market capitalisation of US$594m and burnt through US$42m last year, which is 7.1% of the company's market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

Is Digimarc's Cash Burn A Worry?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Digimarc's cash burn relative to its market cap was relatively promising. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. On another note, Digimarc has 5 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.