Stock Analysis

What Is CyberArk Software Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:CYBR) Share Price Doing?

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NasdaqGS:CYBR
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CyberArk Software Ltd. (NASDAQ:CYBR), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NASDAQGS over the last few months, increasing to US$168 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$116. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether CyberArk Software's current trading price of US$122 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at CyberArk Software’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for CyberArk Software

Is CyberArk Software still cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 3.4% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy CyberArk Software today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $126.31, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because CyberArk Software’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will CyberArk Software generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:CYBR Earnings and Revenue Growth May 12th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of CyberArk Software, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Currently, CYBR appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on CYBR for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on CYBR should the price fluctuate below its true value.

If you'd like to know more about CyberArk Software as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of CyberArk Software.

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