Stock Analysis

Cerence (NASDAQ:CRNC) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

NasdaqGS:CRNC
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Cerence

How Much Debt Does Cerence Carry?

As you can see below, Cerence had US$279.4m of debt, at June 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$102.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$176.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:CRNC Debt to Equity History August 18th 2023

How Strong Is Cerence's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Cerence had liabilities of US$168.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$440.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$102.8m as well as receivables valued at US$57.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$449.6m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Cerence has a market capitalization of US$1.00b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Cerence's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Cerence had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 26%, to US$272m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Cerence's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost US$37m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$15m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Cerence you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.