Stock Analysis

Cognyte Software Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:CGNT) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business

NasdaqGS:CGNT
Source: Shutterstock

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x Cognyte Software Ltd. (NASDAQ:CGNT) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.7x and even P/S higher than 10x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for Cognyte Software

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:CGNT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 6th 2023

How Has Cognyte Software Performed Recently?

Cognyte Software could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Cognyte Software will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Cognyte Software's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Cognyte Software would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 33%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 33% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 2.4% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 13%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Cognyte Software's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Cognyte Software's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Cognyte Software maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Cognyte Software is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cognyte Software is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.