Stock Analysis

3 Stocks That Could Be Trading At An Estimated 49.9% Discount To Intrinsic Value

As the U.S. stock market experiences a downturn with major indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping significantly, investors are increasingly concerned about AI-related stock valuations and broader economic uncertainties. In such volatile conditions, identifying undervalued stocks that may be trading at a significant discount to their intrinsic value can offer potential opportunities for those looking to navigate these challenging times effectively.

Advertisement

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Warrior Met Coal (HCC)$78.01$155.7449.9%
TowneBank (TOWN)$32.02$62.8549.1%
Northwest Bancshares (NWBI)$11.37$22.1048.6%
Horizon Bancorp (HBNC)$15.65$30.8249.2%
Hasbro (HAS)$77.04$150.0648.7%
GeneDx Holdings (WGS)$129.55$253.4648.9%
Eagle Bancorp (EGBN)$15.80$31.1249.2%
BeOne Medicines (ONC)$376.63$747.0049.6%
BCB Bancorp (BCBP)$7.45$14.7749.5%
Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC)$18.68$37.2949.9%

Click here to see the full list of 202 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's explore several standout options from the results in the screener.

Alkami Technology (ALKT)

Overview: Alkami Technology, Inc. offers cloud-based digital banking solutions in the United States and has a market capitalization of approximately $2.15 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily generated from its Internet Software & Services segment, totaling $412.50 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 33.7%

Alkami Technology appears undervalued based on cash flow analysis, trading at US$20.4, below its estimated fair value of US$30.76. Despite recent net losses, revenue growth is strong with a forecasted annual increase of 20.9%, outpacing the market's 10.3%. The company is expected to become profitable within three years and has recently expanded its digital platform offerings with strategic partnerships, enhancing client engagement and operational efficiency for institutions like Jeanne D'Arc Credit Union and Belco Community Credit Union.

ALKT Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
ALKT Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC)

Overview: Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings, with a market cap of $926.73 million, offers excess and surplus lines insurance and reinsurance products to small and medium-sized businesses in the United States through its subsidiaries.

Operations: The company generates revenue of $405.66 million from its insurance business segment.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49.9%

Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings is trading at US$18.68, well below its estimated fair value of US$37.29, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. The company reported strong earnings growth with net income rising to US$22.66 million in Q3 2025 from US$12.86 million a year ago and revenue increasing to US$116.1 million from US$88.75 million, driven by innovative underwriting solutions like Ategrity Select for religious organizations which enhance efficiency and reduce costs in the underwriting process.

ASIC Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
ASIC Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

BBB Foods (TBBB)

Overview: BBB Foods Inc. operates a chain of grocery retail stores in Mexico and has a market cap of $3.23 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily comes from the sale, acquisition, and distribution of various products and consumer goods, amounting to MX$67.08 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 13.1%

BBB Foods is trading at US$28.4, slightly undervalued compared to its estimated fair value of US$32.67. The company is expected to become profitable within three years, with revenue growth projected at 21.7% annually, outpacing the broader US market's growth rate of 10.4%. Despite this positive outlook, the forecasted return on equity remains modest at 15.1%, which may temper enthusiasm for its valuation based on cash flows alone.

TBBB Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
TBBB Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

Taking Advantage

Searching for a Fresh Perspective?

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com