BBB Foods Valuation

Is TBBB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TBBB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TBBB ($26.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($99.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TBBB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TBBB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TBBB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA35.7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TBBB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TBBB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.6x
GO Grocery Outlet Holding
0.5x8.5%US$2.1b
WMK Weis Markets
0.4xn/aUS$1.9b
IMKT.A Ingles Markets
0.2xn/aUS$1.4b
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market
1.2x7.9%US$8.3b
TBBB BBB Foods
1.1x20.2%US$2.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TBBB is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TBBB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TBBB is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (0.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TBBB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TBBB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TBBB's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TBBB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$26.01
US$26.84
+3.2%
16.1%US$33.91US$19.62n/a7
Jul ’25US$23.50
US$27.05
+15.1%
16.2%US$34.14US$19.75n/a7
Jun ’25US$27.24
US$27.87
+2.3%
17.8%US$36.16US$20.92n/a7
May ’25US$22.59
US$27.59
+22.2%
13.0%US$32.39US$21.70n/a6
Apr ’25US$22.90
US$27.56
+20.4%
13.5%US$33.06US$22.15n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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